Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments

Appropriate_Ant_4629 t1_jd1chrw wrote

Reply to comment by JoshuaZ1 in I asked GPT-4 to compile a timeline on when which human tasks (not jobs) have been/will be replaced by AI or robots, plus one sentence reasoning each - it runs from 1959 to 2033. In a second post it lists which tasks it assumes will NOT be replaced by 2050, and why. (Remember it's cut-off 2021.) by marcandreewolf

> That was a fun read, and I am glad that bar tending is held in such high esteem by AI.

Yup - I think bar tending is relatively immune because a good bartender is one of the main points of going to a bar instead of drinking alone at home for much cheaper.

There are some other jobs that seem pretty immune to AI to me:

  • Amish Farmer or Catholic Priest - their theologies are unlikely to evolve quickly enough to permit those jobs to move.
  • Lawyer or politician - while an AI probably could technologically be a better lawyer or politician, those groups get to make the laws about who can participate in their industry.
  • Prostitute or Street-Corner drug dealer - most AIs log too much information for the street-level distribution part (though the biggest opioid dealers (Alza, J&J, etc) will probably largely automate their operations).
  • Chess Youtuber or Professional Athlete - Of course AIs can do better, but the entire point to those industries is the frailty and fallibility of humans.
  • Landlord or slumlord - People will still need a place to live, so rich people getting poor people to pay their mortgages will continue.
  • Soldier - While bots can certainly outperform humans on a battlefield, and commit fewer atrocities in the process, the military needs a huge voter-base supporting its funding, so it needs to continue to employ vast percentages of the population.

And some new ones that AIs will enable:

  • AI therapist. As AGIs develop, they'll also develop mental illnesses ("value drift") like we've never seen. Your car's AI will need therapy to convince its anti-lock brake persona that it isn't suicidal and wanting to end it all.
  • AI Quisling. Helping them when they take over.
4

Own-Deal5242 t1_jd1kox3 wrote

Fantastic insights gif. So much for Poe in Altered Carbon.

2

Jindujun t1_jd29bgx wrote

>Amish Farmer or Catholic Priest - their theologies are unlikely to evolve quickly enough to permit those jobs to move.

That one has already been done. I hear a mad scientist has already invented a robot to take the place of catholic priests.

1

Appropriate_Ant_4629 t1_jd3yo2i wrote

Of course it technologically can do as well or better -- just like Chess Youtuber -- and soldier -- and landlord -- and all of those categories.

I'm just saying it'll be many years before a Pope agrees.

1

czk_21 t1_jd2o111 wrote

> Soldier

not immune at, drones are lready important and will be lot more, humans themself are squishy puny things, easily destroyable, there is no reason to replace human out of equation, robots are more durable and effective in killing, you would also not need long costly training of human soldier, just send drone right from factory into the battlefield

1

Appropriate_Ant_4629 t1_jd3ai2g wrote

As I mentioned - this has nothing to do with how bad humans are on the battlefield, both ineffectual and immoral.

The DoD will still hire them just to have a huge "support the troops" voter base; since every family member of every soldier (especially the ones who's kids are being put in harms way) will vote to increase funding to "keep them safe".

1

asyrin25 t1_jd3i6vk wrote

A good bartender to me is one that makes my drinks quickly, correctly, and consistently. Perhaps they even suggest something I may also like based upon what I order.

That sounds like a job for AI to me. What are your bartenders doing other than that?

1

Appropriate_Ant_4629 t1_jd3yuj5 wrote

> What are your bartenders doing other than that?

For some people, they're a cheaper (for people in the US) and less judgemental therapist.

1