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RavenWolf1 t1_jdu2g2c wrote

Reply to comment by MadDocsDuck in Printed organs becoming more useful than bio ones by TheRappingSquid

The Current progress with AI probably will bring this tech way faster that 20-30 years. Especially if we get ASI at next decade.

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MadDocsDuck t1_jducokl wrote

Mate, AI will not solve all problems. You can expect it to take years until there is an AI capable of working on these problems. Biology/Medicine is a very AI unfriendly field because it is very expensive and time consuming to generate test data thus it is very difficult to train AI models.

Think about the GPT models, they have millions if not billions of examples. On the other hand, a simple cell line takes 6 weeks to grow, then sone time to perform experiments, then some for data analysis.

Even if there were 100k people (which is a generous estimate) working on this problem and we assume a generous 10 weeks per experiment and that all experiments are successfull there will be 520k experiments a year. That is such a massive overestimate and still not enough for a really powerful AI tool.

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RavenWolf1 t1_jdvy3eb wrote

ASI will solve all problems pretty fast if we get it. It is called technological singularity for a reason.

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