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majblackburn t1_iwpscib wrote

Odd source? I was half expecting a run-down of investment opportunities...

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goldygnome t1_iwpsxqe wrote

That's quite a brood range. Given how mainstream analysts often underestimate technological change, does that mean that the blue sky scenario is closer to the low end?

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Gari_305 OP t1_iwpq5d9 wrote

From the Article

>Robots are making their first tentative steps from the factory floor into our homes and workplaces. In a recent report, Goldman Sachs Research estimates a $6 billion market (or more) in people-sized-and-shaped robots is achievable in the next 10 to 15 years. Such a market would be able to fill 4% of the projected US manufacturing labor shortage by 2030 and 2% of global elderly care demand by 2035.
>
>GS Research makes an additional, more ambitious projection as well. “Should the hurdles of product design, use case, technology, affordability and wide public acceptance be completely overcome, we envision a market of up to US$154bn by 2035 in a blue-sky scenario,” say the authors of the report The investment case for humanoid robots. A market that size could fill from 48% to 126% of the labor gap, and as much as 53% of the elderly caregiver gap.

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FuturologyBot t1_iwptiqk wrote

The following submission statement was provided by /u/Gari_305:

From the Article

>Robots are making their first tentative steps from the factory floor into our homes and workplaces. In a recent report, Goldman Sachs Research estimates a $6 billion market (or more) in people-sized-and-shaped robots is achievable in the next 10 to 15 years. Such a market would be able to fill 4% of the projected US manufacturing labor shortage by 2030 and 2% of global elderly care demand by 2035.
>
>GS Research makes an additional, more ambitious projection as well. “Should the hurdles of product design, use case, technology, affordability and wide public acceptance be completely overcome, we envision a market of up to US$154bn by 2035 in a blue-sky scenario,” say the authors of the report The investment case for humanoid robots. A market that size could fill from 48% to 126% of the labor gap, and as much as 53% of the elderly caregiver gap.

Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/yxphqd/humanoid_robots_sooner_than_you_might_think/iwpq5d9/

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BigBadMur t1_iwsbl8h wrote

I don't really want to think about Humanoid Robots. Movies like The Terminator series evoke scary scenarios if these things get out of control.

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jeffkeeg t1_iwxu7ll wrote

If you're worried about robots killing you, them being bipedal is hardly your biggest concern.

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makesyoudownvote t1_ix557hu wrote

Dude, I know this is conspiracy level shit but I'm convinced the singularity already happened about 5-10 years ago. I just think the impact is pretty small so far.

But yeah, bipedal movement and humanoid appearance is probably the least of our concerns. Almost everything is attached to global networks. Our financial industries, our media, or infrastructure. An AI could be fucking our shit up already.

With a basic understanding of human psychology, and AI learning, AI could already be programming US through things as subtle as and innocuous as Google search results or subtle changes to ads we see, and we wouldn't even know it.

I for one embrace our robot overlords and will gladly contribute to our future savior Roko's basilisk. :P

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