Submitted by Rear-gunner t3_z2ldha in Futurology
Comments
[deleted] t1_ixgwllg wrote
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FuturologyBot t1_ixgy4o9 wrote
The following submission statement was provided by /u/Rear-gunner:
One point that few talk about is that about 10% of our economy is in transportation, it is one of the few sectors where education is not required. Once the robots take over, where are these people going to go?
Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/z2ldha/your_robotaxi_is_almost_here/ixgvkr9/
jargo3 t1_ixgyaz0 wrote
Kind of diffcult and expensive to build traintracks to every house.
miner_sd t1_ixgyqga wrote
True, if only there was an affordable, efficient, short distance method of transport everyone could use to get to larger stations that could benefit more from economy of scale
lionrom098 t1_ixgz560 wrote
Right?! Something that can carry 30 - 40 people in one go
miner_sd t1_ixgzcw3 wrote
Yes but we may also need an even smaller mode of transit to get to those... hmm, something that doesn't require gas or batteries and is compact and light enough to be carried everywhere while still facilitating travel of sufficient distance would be best I think. Can't think of anything that can do that though
CMDRStodgy t1_ixh0o18 wrote
I love trains and bikes and walking and most forms of public transport and I agree with almost everything //notjustbikes says. Cars don't belong in our cities, not as personal transport, but they do have their uses. In some mostly rural areas and for some types of journey cars do make sense.
Also, if planned correctly autonomous cars may even increase train use. Having a cheap and convenient way to get from your doorstep to the train station in somewhere like American suburban sprawl will make train travel more attractive.
jargo3 t1_ixh0yim wrote
There is, but it still isn't train. My point is, while trains are great, suggesting them for alternative for robotaxis doesn't make much sense.
Generally public transportation does require high enough population density and unfortunately USA is build such a way that it isn't high enough in many places. This can be fixed over time, but rebuilding half of America in short timeframe isn't realistic and therefore shared robotaxis are better transportation method than privately owner gas powered cars in many places.
Ok_Kale_2509 t1_ixh16ok wrote
"Tell me you live in a super urban area without telling me you live in a super urban area."
The issue is trains only work in dense areas. Even in a city like Indianapolis it wouldn't work very well. Downtown Indianapolis only takes about 10 minutes. The places that the busses go can be 10 miles apart. They have dozens of lines and each has dozens of stops. Even with this there are still tons of complaints that it doesn't cover enough. Making a train system for public transport here is just not possible.
I 100% agree we should use trains in cities that it will work. The issue is it won't work in thousands of others.
jargo3 t1_ixh28kk wrote
Bikes are great, but transporting them in busses generally isn't possible. There is usually space for one or two, but if you wan't to transport more you'll need to start reducing the number of people carried. They can be used with busses if there is a bike park near a bustop where you can leave your bike though.
IceNorth81 t1_ixh385y wrote
Where are all the black smiths, lumber jacks, peasant farmers, horse buggy drivers etc? People find new occupations.
ChaZZZZahC t1_ixh3fww wrote
Also, when so and so billionaire puts out article about donating their wealth...
Fuck pay your fucking taxes.
JonnyGraphite t1_ixh45pd wrote
Yeah no thanks. I’ll wait for the bus
Rear-gunner OP t1_ixh4jem wrote
I hope so but I am worried it's a lot of jobs going
defcon_penguin t1_ixh4vgi wrote
Bikes are not for everyone. Families with small kids, old people, people with disabilities, people carrying large packages. Not everyone can ride a bike, not every time.
RedditeName t1_ixh6jgv wrote
Maybe we can just stop releasing articles like this and wait until something actually happens?
Test19s t1_ixh876r wrote
Autonomous vehicle tech also scales down to delivery robots and drones and up to semi trucks. It’s neat to see some cutting edge technology that’s still progressing as opposed to barely keeping up with setbacks (eg medicine in the COVID age).
svick t1_ixh98r0 wrote
Nobody is contradicting that.
Though with sufficient infrastructure, cargo bikes can help with some of those cases.
svick t1_ixh9fde wrote
Which is why the US obsession with suburbia needs to end.
Rear-gunner OP t1_ixhb96q wrote
By then it will be for another group in reddit.
blankblond t1_ixhjrrl wrote
It killed 2 folks on the way here but it’s here.
[deleted] t1_ixhkts2 wrote
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[deleted] t1_ixhkya5 wrote
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[deleted] t1_ixhlbz7 wrote
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ocmaddog t1_ixhlgoc wrote
Uhh, robotaxis?
drewyourpic t1_ixhm5su wrote
Legitimately the last drivers we should be replacing.
Good taxi drivers are also tour guides of sorts. Robots can’t replace that part of the taxi driver skill set.
radelix t1_ixhro9z wrote
They haven't figured out how to make money from trains.
Rear-gunner OP t1_ixhrowp wrote
It's a very small market. Plus such people can be replaced, ever been to an art gallery where you get an electronic guide
Rear-gunner OP t1_ixhru69 wrote
Well mining companies in Australia use them in their trucks on-site.
radelix t1_ixhs8mn wrote
Just gonna point out that we still have all of those jobs: millwright, lumberjack is still very much a job, farmer, bus/truck driver.
demalo t1_ixhuux8 wrote
Don’t give me that bike shit, I’ve read The Giver!
demalo t1_ixhvc0g wrote
Ding ding ding ding…. This is the winning answer. If it doesn’t make money in a capitalist society than it doesn’t get done by a private company. If people want trains they need to legislate for it. Get support. Find one city or community that is pro mass transit and make it a model for other cities to follow. Boston spent $$$$$ on the big dig, imagine if implementing a train or other mass transit solution at a fraction of the cost. It would turn heads pretty quickly.
Svenskensmat t1_ixhwk3d wrote
> Families with small kids, old people
Cargo bike.
> people carrying large packages.
Cargo bike.
phriot t1_ixi0bj9 wrote
This. My town has a train station on a line into the closest major city. The town does not have the density, or probably the tax base, to run a bus system. A few electric robotaxis would seem to at least be more efficient than having ~100 cars parked at that train station all day.
defcon_penguin t1_ixi1w1h wrote
Next time I call, you so you take my mother with her luggage to the station with your cargo bike
Svenskensmat t1_ixi36jv wrote
You can take your own mother to the station.
patryuji t1_ixi6rgk wrote
I remember some areas of the Seattle metro had bike "lockers" at the bus and light rail stations. So, if the buses get a couple bikes at a time to a transit hub for connections around the metro, the transit hub can have lockers to safely store your bike.
https://kingcounty.gov/depts/transportation/metro/travel-options/bike/parking.aspx#on-demand
[deleted] t1_ixi7m7b wrote
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zooscientist t1_ixiex15 wrote
Sure. But most people (you?) don't even ever try
miner_sd t1_ixifzy5 wrote
Cars are great for places that have basically no infrastructure, like for getting to a weather station in the middle of a forest, or for getting around on the moon. There's a reason the Apollo astronauts used a rover and not a train
miner_sd t1_ixign69 wrote
The US used to have such a large system of trolleys and interurbans that you could get from the east coast to the midwest using those alone, and you could find trolleys in cities as small as 30,000 people
We don't have any of that anymore
It's gone because car companies bought up all the infrastructure and ripped it up. Good public transit is possible, people just aren't trying
miner_sd t1_ixigqeg wrote
I'm talking about legs
Also all the buses in my city have bike racks on them
Cynical_Cabinet t1_ixih7wj wrote
And because not literally everybody can use a bike, you think that the bike shouldn't be an option for anyone.
miner_sd t1_ixihe28 wrote
> families with small kids
My parents had an enclosed bike trailer with a seat to move me around on bike when I was a baby, it also worked for groceries
> old people
If you think designing cities around cars only is better for old people you are gravely mistaken
> disabilities
Wheelchairs and electric wheelchairs use pedestrian and bike infrastructure. Driving is also notably quite impossible for the vision impaired
> large packages
Cargo bike or trailer
> not everyone can ride a bike every time
Thankfully, I'm not advocating for that, there are other modes of transit that are quite effective, such as walking, busses, light, heavy, and high speed rail, planes even. And for that one day every few years that you really need a van or truck, we may just in fact have the capabilities to allow you to rent one
miner_sd t1_ixiibyi wrote
Why on earth would I need a $45000 giant metal box to get me a fraction of a mile
Icy-Record-7773 t1_ixiind8 wrote
hasn't this "almost been here" for the past 10 years?
MpVpRb t1_ixivfzp wrote
>But developers admit the challenge has proven much more difficult — and expensive — than anticipated.
Engineers in the field anticipated the difficulties. Pundits, futurists and other assorted hucksters created the myth that it was easy
Source: I'm an engineer who worked on the tech
defcon_penguin t1_ixiy12l wrote
Never said that
Rear-gunner OP t1_ixjsiz3 wrote
It will take time, trucks will be first, there already being used in mines in Australia
LinuxSupremacy t1_ixjszfs wrote
It's like fusion reactors. They've been "almost here" for decades XD
Birdminton t1_ixkf5y9 wrote
We can have both
kurtthewurt t1_ixkg069 wrote
You can order real autonomous robotaxi service in Vegas and Phoenix. A few companies have permits to do so in CA too, but haven’t started yet.
Odd_Calligrapher_407 t1_ixkipye wrote
Ironically, the MBTA took on an unsustainable amount of debt in defraying the cost of the big dig. Classic creative financing to cripple a public good in the service of highways.
Odd_Calligrapher_407 t1_ixkiyn3 wrote
Or people could walk the last mile…
Odd_Calligrapher_407 t1_ixkj6q9 wrote
Wah wah wah. Sounds like someone doesn’t like to get his feet wet. 🥲
dysoncube t1_ixklt6a wrote
But the article talks about the city where it happened
dysoncube t1_ixkm6j6 wrote
You don't live in the cities mentioned in the article
miner_sd t1_ixkm7fo wrote
(I am referring to legs)
[deleted] t1_ixkpwbi wrote
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[deleted] t1_ixkqmxi wrote
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[deleted] t1_ixl8v2f wrote
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wlowry77 t1_ixlucvu wrote
Considering that 99 Americans die each day from non self driving cars I think the stats aren’t against them yet!
Icy-Record-7773 t1_ixtp9o0 wrote
kind of ironic you mention that cause I just saw a video on 3 companies working on them, interestingly though these one's seem like they might just make it. one of the companies is aiming for 2024 https://youtu.be/yNP8by6V3RA
Rear-gunner OP t1_ixgvkr9 wrote
One point that few talk about is that about 10% of our economy is in transportation, it is one of the few sectors where education is not required. Once the robots take over, where are these people going to go?