Submitted by lughnasadh t3_zl5hmi in Futurology
lughnasadh OP t1_j03ew0y wrote
My 2023 Predictions.
Open AI's GPT-4, and other LLM-based AI developments will seem like major advances. They will add fuel to the long-running debate about AI/Robots eventually being able to perform most human jobs.
New waves of Covid will occur, but few places will return to lockdown conditions. China may be the country with the worst problems in this regard.
In politics, around the world, the issue of a generational divide in terms of cultural outlook and access to economic opportunities becomes much more prominent.
Self-driving robo-taxis, without safety drivers, will spread to more cities around the world. Inevitably there will be some accidents, and these will be seized on by people opposed to robo-taxis.
A gene-editing breakthrough gives major hope as a cancer treatment.
The EU's role as global tech/AI regulator will grow stronger. New laws on disinformation, hate speech, transparency, and consumer protection will start to come into legal force in 2023, and we'll be hearing much more about what they deal with.
A general purpose easily trainable robot that becomes commercially available will seem a major step forward in robotics adoption.
An internal coup against Vladimir Putin seems a strong possibility, as Russia continues to fail and weaken. Ukraine attempting to split the Russian forces in two, and isolate the Kherson/Crimea region from supply lines, prior to retaking it, may its biggest military move in 2023.
Workers striking become more common across the western world, as inflation and stagnating wages continue a trend of declining living standards.
Several uncrewed moon landings by different nations publicize the topic of the US & China's plans for crewed moon bases in the 2030s.
A breakthrough in battery technology points to a future for batteries beyond the current lithium-ion model.
Global renewables deployment continues to outpace predictions. The conversation around this will feature more talk of grid upgrading and grid storage, rather than just solar and wind power generation.
Crash_69 t1_j09f5ln wrote
These predictions seem to be the way we're headed, for sure. But I think that most of what you're predicting won't happen in 2023. We might start hearing news about trainable robots or an EU commission forming to study public policy regarding AI though.
Charlie500 t1_j0d5oal wrote
Good effort.
[deleted] t1_j0i9cgb wrote
[deleted]
AtomGalaxy t1_j21sn9v wrote
>Global renewables deployment continues to outpace predictions. The conversation around this will feature more talk of grid upgrading and grid storage, rather than just solar and wind power generation.
WIth regard to robo-taxis, the industry will respond by releasing all the data and video from accidents. This has two strategic benefits: full transparency between the major companies boxes out new startups who can’t meet the high enough minimum bar, it gaslights the people hit by robo-taxis with the cold facts that the AV was probably done wrong by the other human(s) involved in the accident. Maybe insurance pays out 10x what it would normally but because it happens 100x less often it's win/win all around?
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