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firewolf8385 t1_j0tcrp6 wrote

Reply to comment by njm123niu in How would the economies be if AI takes most / all the jobs? by Charming-Coconut-234

You’re thinking of AI in the wrong light. AI is a tool for humans to use. It facilitates humans to create and do tasks, but can’t do them on its own. Some examples that ChatGPT have shown is programming, art, writing, etc. ChatGPT makes those much easier, but it needs a human to guide it to the answer we want. Technology for AI to truly think for itself and require no human intervention at all is easily 100 years away at best, if it ever comes at all.

Edit: Also, those examples did replace labor. We used to have entire office buildings full of people dedicated to crunching numbers all day. A single farmer today can cover an area that would take hundreds of farmers 200 years ago. The jobs didn’t just “disappear”, they shifted to other industries. Every new technology just allows humans to diversify more.

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njm123niu t1_j0tdu35 wrote

First, the technological singularity you're referring to may happen much, much sooner, the general expert consensus is by 2045, maybe sooner.

Second, it doesn't take sentient technology for AI (which yes, is a tool for humans to use) to replace human jobs. It's not even a 'futuristic' concept, it's literally happening today. Humans are being replaced by AI that is able to do human work.

So it's not a even a question of "if" it will happen, beacuase it's already happening. The question is when does it replace human work at a scale that totally realigns our economy in an irreversible way.

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firewolf8385 t1_j0te7wi wrote

See my edit above: The jobs won’t disappear, they’ll change industries, just like every time before

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njm123niu t1_j0tsu3v wrote

The other innovations drove the need for human labor up. AI drives the need for human labor down. There is no "changing industries" when AI can do (nearly) everything humans can do, cheaper. I'm sorry but it's a very basic concept.

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firewolf8385 t1_j0ue7uk wrote

They didn’t bring the need for labor up though, it’s not like people just didn’t have jobs beforehand. First most people were farmers, then most people become factory workers, and now most people are part of the information economy. Those technologies replaced human labor and allowed other jobs to form. AI will likely much automate the Information economy, and we’ll enter a new era. I’d imagine we’ll either switch to more of a service and leisure economy or a more research and development economy(with AI as a tool to make that stuff easier), but we won’t know until we get there.

If AI could do absolutely everything, we will be made obsolete and humanity will die off anyways.

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