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Zakku_Rakusihi t1_j3mmfkf wrote

AGI should be here soon, within a decade most likely.

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SorakaWithAids t1_j3njktf wrote

can't fucking wait. AGI is literally going to make ASI so quick LOL.

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Zakku_Rakusihi t1_j3nkgeo wrote

Same, I’m hyped for these next few years.

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SorakaWithAids t1_j3nkoi5 wrote

thank god im young. i hope we can finally be the last generation of humans to HAVE to die by aging. Our doctors are getting close, and AGI / ASI will absolutely fucking smash that problem. I want to be in fucking Altered Carbon.

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OblongRectum t1_j3okjv4 wrote

>I want to be in fucking Altered Carbon.

You want to be in a dystopia? Where the wealthy just keep taking and concentrating wealth and never fucking die? iirc poor people did not have their stacks placed into new bodies if they couldn't afford it

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Helpful_Opinion2023 t1_j3qapth wrote

If your standard of living and quality of life are so great that you are effectively immortal and without serious want, then who cares how much the rich are hoarding?

The value of their wealth sharply drops in meaning if everyone else is well off enough to say "eh, so? Who cares what's in your bank account!?!?"

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icedrift t1_j3qxhe5 wrote

I take it you haven't watched or read altered carbon. It would be like if only billionairs were immortal and the rest of us were slaves under threat of having to pay off our debts by selling our physical bodies to our debtors.

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OblongRectum t1_j3rls17 wrote

I don't think you know what you're talking about lol. maybe you're mixing up IPs

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[deleted] t1_j3oandw wrote

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SorakaWithAids t1_j3obb4b wrote

Nah if we get AGI in 10 years we are chilling.

I'll sacrifice my soul right now for that.

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[deleted] t1_j3r1t60 wrote

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SorakaWithAids t1_j3r6jvb wrote

doesn't matter how many animal species we lose if we have AGI let alone ASI. We will be creating species from scratch in a lab.

I think all consumer electronics should be dummy devices with nice screens that never need to be replaced unless you want a different design. all software based on a local server for home / powerful things, or cloud for everything else. obviously there is more nuance.

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[deleted] t1_j3r9102 wrote

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SorakaWithAids t1_j3r9dej wrote

I'm talking more about ASI than AGI. But even with AGI i think it will be possible. hard but possible. Insects and bacterium replicate like crazy. especially if we design them to. We can release them into specific habitats and let them multiply. won't be instantaneous, but i think it would be doable to some extent.

maybe not for the whole world population at first, but we will build up to it eventually.

regardless, i still assume a lot of people are going to starve to death. thats a given.

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PolyHertz t1_j3p6ozp wrote

iirc in that series they were just using a chip implanted in people to make copies of their memories/personality. No one actually lived any longer, just when they died a body got implanted with said copy and were in a deep state of denial believing they were that person because it was all they knew.

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JhonnyHopkins t1_j3o0sjh wrote

Makes me grateful to be born in this time period, if we happened to “spawn in” one or two generations prior however…

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SorakaWithAids t1_j3o0xgm wrote

Yeah... they still might be able to make it though. Someone who is 50 now could potentially still have another 40-50yrs to wait

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mjrossman OP t1_j3mmt8y wrote

I would tend to agree that something resembling AGI might manifest. curious to hear your thoughts about the Alberta Plan and if any of the 12 steps sound like they might be possible within 1-5 years.

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rationalkat t1_j3o0wgk wrote

Richard Sutton himself set a timeframe of 5-10 years for realising all 12 steps of the 'Alberta Plan'.

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Zakku_Rakusihi t1_j3mn8y9 wrote

I believe 1-8 are likely, 9-10 5 or 7 years out and final two are 10 years out.

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Kupo_Master t1_j3n82f7 wrote

On which basis?

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Zakku_Rakusihi t1_j3n87j7 wrote

Personal opinion combined with studying and researching AI.

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CyberAchilles t1_j486ug7 wrote

The same was said about Fusion energy, about Graphene technology, etc Always a decade away. Prepare to be disappointed when AGI isn't here in a decade.

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Zakku_Rakusihi t1_j48ikgi wrote

It’s a prediction not something guaranteed, sure. Being cynical doesn’t help either though.

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CyberAchilles t1_j48jaho wrote

I'm not being cynical, I am beinga realist.

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Zakku_Rakusihi t1_j48t81r wrote

I mean we won’t know until ten years pass. I see AI research speeding up.

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