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I'd say medicine and materials sciences because a lot of these are basically like Giant puzzle solving problems where you have to assemble and test a whole bunch of puzzle pieces in the forms of drug candidates and molecular structures and one of the most impressive things we've seen machine learning do so far is speed up those processes.

Machine learning is inherently like a Rubik's cube solver or a puzzle solver so wherever you find fields that people kind of do like repetitive modeling and testing of new materials and where there's a lot of money you'll see machine learning boom the most so that's going to be the medical field and drugs.

We're also going to get much smarter cameras in general and that's going to have a lot of various applications where we can monitor things and have much more precise alerts which will benefit like every field as well as reduce crime...so cameras with machine learning will continue to be a bigger and bigger thing because they're so darn useful in so many different ways.

I'm especially excited about AI/machine learning generation of new drugs. We can already do this to a great extent. I don't think it'll be long before you can tell the computer "I want a drug that will have this effect with as few side effects as possible" and have it spit out 10 great contenders. Yes, those would still need to pass human trials, but it would reduce the amount of "miracle cures" that turn out to be duds once human trials begin.

AI politicians would be a big step forward given the state of affairs around the world.

It would be nice to see decisions put forth for the benefit of the majority including future generations and the planet.

No emotion or greed, just a bias towards preservation of life, peace and advancement of civilisation.

It would nice to know we're moving towards a star trek type future and not blade runner

I love this idea.

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But who could we trust in the current system to code and maintain that and not to go ingrain their own bias into it. Alignment is a big issue there.

That would be so great and solve so many problems. Do you really think this is possible in the foreseeable future? If so, cool!

Honestly i dont know, some sort of monk software engineer who has taken a vow of coding for the sake of the betterment of humanity.

Maybe a test or harsh consequences written into their contracts.

Not sure really, how do you find people that just want things to be better all round, no greed or chance of being bought out by companies.

I believe the first part of this is already in use. Drug companies can tell a computer "we need a chemical that will bind to this receptor. The computer will look through the possibilities and spot out some likely candidates. The drug companies then only have to test 10 or so likely drugs as opposed to looking at random for a suitable drug.

I'd expect that future iterations would incorporate modeling to guess at side effects. It won't be perfect (especially not at first), but it would give drug researchers a better head start on which compounds would give the biggest bang with the least side effects.

You fundamentally misunderstand how AI and even politics work.

Probably right, so what would you propose as a way to integrate AI into politics?

I wouldn’t unless it’s an AGI.

Well, imagine if people have their own personal AIs who can do exhaustive research and make informed decisions on their behalf. Essentially those people would be letting their AIs vote for them, if not directly then just by informing them of what is maximally beneficial for them and influencing their decisions.

I would imagine that would improve government overall. Given a hundred years, it could even lead to abolishing representatives and just having a direct democracy for every issue.

Drug development and patient treatment protocols

Separately, a long time back I attended a biz luncheon and the guest speaker was Malcolm Gladwell (he was wonderful btw). Back then he warned that 'any job or task that can be documented (e.g. a written specification like a software spec) can be outsourced to a low-cost region. I'd say that the same will soon true but can be outsourced to an AI

Whoa that sounds really high for a population of ~85 million. Any idea why so many?

That's precisely what we in /r/osd are trying to prevent. As soon as we lose the ability to decide for ourselves, it's endgame.

Politics are based on deals and deception. We would need a complete overhaul of the current system

In daily life, we won’t google anything anymore. We’ll ask questions to an AI. It’s already happening on some level and google is shitting it’s pants.

As impressive as AI's potential in drug development and medical care are, it's worth a reminder that both of these systems are highly sclerotic, and that drug development in particular requires a lengthy clinical testing process. As a result, they're unlikely to be the biggest impact on our daily lives (particularly in the shorter part of that time period, the longer may have slightly more point).

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In practice, there are a few areas where people are more likely to interact with AI significantly in the range we're discussing here. Basically they're automation/robotics, and software. And the latter will be much faster than the former (which is still going to take substantial rollout time). Nonetheless, one of the growing indicators is the gradual rollout we're seeing of robotaxis. Which will likely be endemic within cities by then.

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AI IRS—Hopefully this will get the public more money as the class war in the US is trying to downsize personnel and funding.

AI Security bots—This might be as bad as it sounds. But it might have a silver lining of protecting the lives of human security guards?

AI motion-stabilizers—Robotics will get increasingly sophisticated, this will have implications both positive and negative in job and security sectors. Ex. Drones and Boston-Dynamic-style dog-bots becoming more central in construction, displacing jobs, but also saving worker’s the physical damage of lifting, plus opening up construction areas unsafe for humans, such as climate disaster zones, war zones, or space.

AI material analysis—New materials and structural configurations at the macro and micro scale will likely be discovered with AI-assisted research. A lot will depend on who asks which questions. This might not have impact until the research really gets going

So like the Magi that ran Tokyo3 in NGE? I remember watching that and thinking how fucking cool would it be and just thinking how far off we were.

A complete overhaul sounds pretty good tbh

I can't wait until Ai/machine learning caters drugs to your specific body rather than a generic all-around use drug.

Yeah i agree that I wouldn't want AI making the final decision, I would want AI to be able to show a possible solution with all it's positives and negatives and then have the public be able to vote on AIs choices versus an elected official's choice.

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Yeah, I can see each person having it, each electorate, state and country having systems where they combine and make decisions based on the many factors involved from the individual through to city, state and country.

It's just the amount of variables to take into account is mind boggling.

That'd be a good place to start

If you like your hard scifi books, check out the Commonwealth Saga by Peter F Hamilton, They have a planetary AI that occupies it's own planet.

What if it was open source and there was an effective process for contributing?

I have an AI/ML company that trains 911 operators how to do their job. It changes scenarios (fire, ambulance, cops, etc), languages, accents, background noises ( operator has to change script based on dogs barking, gun shots, violent threats). We have the ML learning telemed applications now.

Over this decade self driving is really going to start taking off. That will be the most impactful AI technology in near future. Others may be flashier or get more media attention, but transport is very important for everyone's daily life and even a small change makes for a big impact.

The deployment of low-speed shared autonomous minibuses, robotaxis, delivery/vending bots, and micromobility scooters and bikes that drive themselves back to charge points could greatly reduce the need for parking spaces in car-dependent areas.

This could free up large tracks of land currently devoted to parking and make it possible to repurpose it for other uses, such as affordable housing, parks, and retail. The reduced need for parking could also make it more feasible to build compact, walkable, and sustainable neighborhoods, which could help to reduce the environmental impact of urban areas. Furthermore, the increased use of shared autonomous vehicles could also reduce the number of cars on the road and decrease traffic congestion, leading to better air quality and shorter commute times.

People would walk more. Enjoy the outside more playing immersive video games with augmented reality glasses. Society is healthier and has more time to be creative. Progress speeds up even faster because we’re all working on what we really love and offering our unique problem solving contributions to the world.

And then, yeah, I agree with the other comment, AI politicians. We’re probably already there with capital flows from AI helping hedge funds and ETFs.

>decisions put forth for the benefit of the majority

Beware the tyranny of the majority. You can't always follow the will of the most popular opinion/benefit.

Hypothetical: most of the US population lives near the coasts. Popular vote says that mail delivery would be better if it only served the coasts.

Edit: I agree with your general sentiment, but majority rule has its own issues.

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I have a feeling people will have relationships or friendships with AI software people. Loneliness and social separation is accelerating.

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True, it all has to be paired with logic.

I hate to sound like a pessimist because I totally want better, more walkable neighborhoods… but this idea of everyone giving up their cars is a long way away if ever. Everyone said 10 years ago that Uber would end car ownership because you had an Uber.

But what if you have kids in car seats? Do you want to lug those around or trust the drivers’? What if you live in a suburb and need to get to the airport at 5 am?

Again it’s probably what’s best for the environment but car ownership is so engrained in our culture and infrastructure it takes decades to change that. Here’s hoping I’m wrong

"A just machine to make big decisions
Programmed by fellows with compassion and vision
We'll be clean when their work is done
We'll be eternally free yes and eternally young"

-- From I.G.Y. by Donald Fagen

Ii'll hae to give that a listen. THankyou!

I would like to believe something in the medical field, but my guess:

Books/movies/TV shows/video games personalized for each reader/viewer/player

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I think what might be more problematic is the kind of data that is feed to train the model. We might feed it real data but will be issuing results from a system that might have human bias built in and now bias is training the AI

Yes, it does take more than single digit amount of years for this to change. But younger generations, at least according to surveys, are already done with car ownership. They see no value in that.

Combined with some sort of governmental regulations, which will be driven by green/sustainable narrative, I have no doubts we are heading towards minimized car ownership.

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When AI master deepfakes and even creates convincing video just with description. Then we will truely live in a post truth civilization

What a beautiful world this will be.

The ones that help solve health issues such as aging.

AI is going to speed up research and discoveries.

> the benefit of the majority

So, we tell an AI to work for the benefit of the majority. The first thing it does is abolish minority rights. Who decides which group of 51% of people counts as the majority? Who defines 'benefit'? Who decides what counts as advanced?

Ever tried editing Wikipedia?

Why would AI be able to abolish rights? Its purpose is present solutions based on the data it has available, which can then be voted on. AI being implemented into politcal policy making would be to offer arguments based purely on the data available.

As to who inputs the data and what is supplied, that is another problem.

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This was a really good listen:

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/greymatter/id1089013200