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abrandis t1_j4i77e5 wrote

I doubt it, here's why.. Automation especially the mechanical variety (like industrial robots) are very very expensive and only make sense in industries where economy of scale benefits outweigh the costs (auto, airplanes etc.)...

Take fast food for example, assembling a burger is a heck of a lot easier than assembling a car, why haven't we seen automated kitchens? Because you're selling a burger for a few $$ and the cost of human labor is still cheap enough than to retrofit a fast food restaurant with expensive robots where the ROI could take years, and you still need people at the location because automation is very narrow focused (it may take an order, but won't mop the floor, clean the bathrooms, or answer customer questions / complaints ), the economics for most of these kind of low skill low pay jobs don't favor automation today.

Now the more high skilled white collar type of jobs, those are more at risk, but only certain categories, because lots of professional level jobs (doctors, lawyers, engineers) still have to work inside a regulatory framework that legally holds the person (human) liable for said work (that's why engineers sign off on blueprints and work authorizations), you can't just stick automation in place of the person the law hasn't adapted to that. So for certain classes of professional work, it's still pretty safe.

The most at risk are your entry level office workers, call center reps, entry level salespeople, entry or mid level finance, if your job involves looking at a spreadsheet or some website and making decisions about the data and then just updating it, yeah those jobs are going away.

But it all takes time and thats the main determinant of how much chaos AI will have in the job market , how quickly jobs get replaced... If tomorrow there's a cheap enough self drivig. Truck that puts all the trucking jobs at risk, yeah big problem, but if that takes a generation, not so big....


Seattle2017 t1_j4kbyl4 wrote

software engineers often don't have any legal requirements. A few crazy places want iso9000 but that's almost a joke, a hugely painful and probably useless certification. Some big companies might use that. Anyway, we can automate ourselves out of a job very easily.