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Altruistic-Tower-784 t1_j4x2zba wrote

Here’s something to consider:

China’s population is imploding. That will damage their domestic supply chains, which will further adversely affect their population. All of this will damage their currency which will call into doubt, their credit worthiness, which will likely damage international supply chains.

They will probably either be in a civil war (because Xi jealousy eliminated all viable successors) or, if Xi is still in power, they will probably be executing a government plan that eliminates half a billion Chinese citizens, so that the economy isn’t under so much stress.

Of course all if this will be quietly ignored as the world focuses on the chinese vs US space race, which the Chinese government will gladly prioritize over feeding its citizens because it’s politically cheaper (in their view) to distract from famine, than to actually feed them.

But hey - go ahead and focus on the headline if that makes you feel better.

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SentientHotdogWater t1_j4xroh1 wrote

>They will probably either be in a civil war (because Xi jealousy eliminated all viable successors) or, if Xi is still in power, they will probably be executing a government plan that eliminates half a billion Chinese citizens, so that the economy isn’t under so much stress.

I think predictions of a civil war are a little extreme. A depression and maybe something similar to what happened to Japan with the lost decade might happen, but there's nothing I've seen that would indicate a civil war is near.

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Altruistic-Tower-784 t1_j4xxxzm wrote

Yeah you’re right. Civil war is too resource intensive. I might more accurately characterize it as a struggle for power among those near the top.

Love the user name btw

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ovirt001 t1_j56x5dx wrote

There are multiple insurmountable problems for China but none will lead to civil war. China's populace has been designed to be subservient. Anyone with the will to fight was either killed or exiled. Over the next few decades we'll see China implode as the rest of the world moves to other countries for manufacturing. This will force the communist party to close the country off again.

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