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tyrellxelliot t1_j0jrf8f wrote

imo 50% of white collar jobs are going away in the next 10 years.

ChatGPT already generates mostly working code, and currently it doesn't even use feedback from executing that code, instead just writing it in a one-shot fashion. If they train it using RLHF but with a more specialised code model and compiler/unit test in the loop instead of a human, I think it can totally generate fully working end products.

Any job that involves application of specialised knowledge in the text domain (accountants, para-legals, teachers etc) are under threat. Hallucinations should be easily solvable by incorporating a factual knowledge database, like in RETRO.

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arcandor t1_j18ymo4 wrote

No, the jobs won't go away. This new technology will benefit a small group of people and their companies. For the rest of us, we may get a small productivity boost. Some low hanging fruit, easily automatable jobs, will shift from 'do the thing' to 'monitor the ai doing the thing'. The number of positions will decrease but not disappear.

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blose1 t1_j0shnwm wrote

> Hallucinations should be easily solvable by incorporating a factual knowledge database, like in RETRO.

> accountants, para-legals, teachers etc

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No, RETRO style DB will not help with hallucinations, it will only help with simple fact checking, will not help with all generative nature of responses because they are not facts and you can't fact check if they are true in any DB.

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> imo 50% of white collar jobs are going away in the next 10 years.

You are hallucinating.

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