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UnaffiliatedOpinion t1_iw4u9zx wrote

It's still a bit early to be celebrating being the 51st vote, no? Georgia is going to a runoff and the Republican has a narrow lead in Nevada.

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1h8fulkat t1_iw5l2x8 wrote

Nevada just went blue and was called by CNN

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Odd_Description_2295 t1_iw58oz6 wrote

Half of a percentage point last i checked.

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UnaffiliatedOpinion t1_iw5bo9w wrote

Yep - it's under a thousand votes. It looks like the largest county with votes outstanding leans blue, but only by a few percentage points. The Dems may very well win it but it's going to be a close one.

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IamSauerKraut t1_iw5rxsm wrote

Nevada went blue. A win is a win, no matter how close.

We now have to support Warnock. Herschel the aborting Headcase already has 30+ million in the bank.

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blinkdmb t1_iw5w919 wrote

Would help nullify Manchin too.

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IamSauerKraut t1_iw73f25 wrote

Yeahhhh... there is the Manchin/Sinema issue, but given that Mark Kelly was re-elected, Sinema will either get on board or she will get gone next time around.

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kiltedturtle t1_iw92bvu wrote

We can only hope she gets on board, but she seems to have a ticket to her own personal crazy train.

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Sprinkles_Hopeful t1_iw8oyb8 wrote

I had the same thought as you and that's exactly correct we need that seat and I can say we will have no problem getting that seat we'll just send Barack Obama back in and it's a done deal LOL

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AladdinDaCamel t1_iw54hf5 wrote

Nevada CCM will win almost for sure, so they will have at least 50, but you are correct regarding Georgia

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im_at_work_now t1_iw57qle wrote

And, really, the only people in Georgia switching votes will be the ones who voted libertarian, and they'll go R. Best hope is to turn out new voters there.

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[deleted] t1_iw5aqz6 wrote

[deleted]

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realhighstonerguy t1_iw5kga2 wrote

Ehhh Libertarians are pretty much just Republicans who smoke weed. And despite Republicans being the ones opposing legislation, a good portion will probably go R.

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PermissionToConnect t1_iw6a8xb wrote

I believe all candidates that ran still go on the ballot again in a runoff, so they will most likely just vote for the same person again

Edit: I said "I believe" I don't live in Georgia lol

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PermissionToConnect t1_iw6a6qn wrote

Georgia allows new voter registrations heading into a runoff and you are also able to fix your ballot if it was defective. It has also been stated plenty that Walker was only helped by Kemp also being on the ballot, as he received 500k fewer votes than Kemp. Warnock is in a much better position going into this than Walker is.

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themollusk t1_iw7aca8 wrote

I agree that the overwhelming majority of libertarian voters are just republicans in disguise, but:

Control of the Senate is no longer on the line with the Georgia runoff. It's going to determine if it's a 50/50 split or 51/49, both in favor of the Dems.

And Kemp isn't on the ticket to help Walker.

Those two things could head to significantly lower enthusiasm in the R vote.

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ycpa68 t1_iw7miy4 wrote

I'd bet more libertarian voters just don't show up. My theory is the "Libertarians" that are actually Rs in disguise always fill out the ballot for the R when push comes to shove. Then there are true believers. They hate both major parties and won't show up in a runoff. Finally, there are the disillusioned Rs. If you poke around /r/neoliberal you'll find a huge pipeline of people, myself included, who grew up in conservative areas, became disillusioned with Republicans but still were convinced Democrats are evil, made a stop off at libertarianism, realized democrats aren't evil, and became moderate Democrats.

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Sprinkles_Hopeful t1_iw8oud3 wrote

Nope. Celebrate and enjoy the celebration because we will take Georgia with no problem that's just a given so keep on celebrating and enjoy it

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SWPenn t1_iw6vjgr wrote

Definitely a spring in my step with the way everything went in PA. And the national results really surprised me. The electorate showed up to say: keep government control out of people's reproduction, the elections aren't "rigged," Trumpism is divisive and accomplishes nothing, repudiate white supremacists, white nationalism, antisemitism, homophobia, and the conservative hysteria about trans people, and fascism/autocracy have no place here. (Except for Florida, of course).

Looks like this great experiment of the United States may make it after all.

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RedStar9117 t1_iw6op28 wrote

I'm glad John is doing better. I'm ready to have him in DC

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KenMacMillan123 t1_iw6xa1i wrote

I'm just glad that Fetterman beat Oz. I don't care about the rest.

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SlashRingingHash t1_iw7bl8y wrote

I’m so confused with all this. I look online and see it’s 48/48 with 2 independents? This is so confusing tbh

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Conditionofpossible t1_iw7gh98 wrote

It's not really confusing at all.

Those two Independents are to the left of mainstream Democrats, so they will almost always vote with the Dems and almost never with the Republicans.

So with the two indepentens who are more reliable voters than some people within the party (Manchin, Sinema) the democrats have 50 votes, and since the senate has 100 members, there would be a 50/50 split, and whenever there is a tie in votes in the senate, the VP breaks the tie, so the democrats have the same effective majority.

If they get 51 then it means the VP won't have to vote, and there can be 1 or 2 members of the dems who don't vote party lines and they can still pass judges/reconciliation/ect.

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SlashRingingHash t1_iw7gxsn wrote

Ah, yea that makes sense then. I thought one party needed 51, not just 51 people that typically vote along their lines. Thanks for explaining that!

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Donotaskmedontellme t1_iw73qs1 wrote

Welp, guess things won't get any better any time soon. Keep buying ammo.

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