LapLeong t1_iqpi7qb wrote
Reply to comment by thedeadthatyetlive in WA Senate candidate Tiffany Smiley criticizes Seattle Times, Starbucks, Seahawks by matchettehdl
She's only about 2-4% behind. If the polls are wrong, she could very well squeak by.
thedeadthatyetlive t1_iqpk23o wrote
Whether she wins or loses she's a trump-humping bag of filth running on how much she hates everything that makes this state distinct.
LapLeong t1_iqpmpid wrote
I'm not from the PNW (though I'd love to move there). I'd like to know what you think makes WA distinct and prosperous. I'd also like to know why you think she's polling better than other Republicans.
thedeadthatyetlive t1_iqpoh8b wrote
This sums up more eloquently than I could why and how Trafalgar polls are, to put it politely, bullshit that I don't concern myself with.
As far as what washington is, it's a democrat plurality saddled with a few highly reactive conservative counties. By highly reactive, I mean until recently they had elected a guy that was literally planning and organizing domestic terrorism under the guise of a "holy war." Of course, people found out and the reds decided they weren't that red. There's also been some good reporting on the QAnon crazies that tried to take over Sequim, if you are interested it's pretty easy to look up.
So yeah, Smiley could get elected, and like when Matt Shea was elected, that would be a tragedy for the entire state, but one we'll endure and overcome.
Obvious_copout t1_iqr70tx wrote
Thankfully mayorQ and his cronies were handily voted out of office in sequim, and every extreme repub candidate in clallam county that I can think of.
HelenAngel t1_iqrd00c wrote
If you don’t think WA is distinct & prosperous, you should probably just stay where you are rather than move here.
LapLeong t1_iqvaf5w wrote
I should've clarified my question. I know WA is distinct and prosperous. I'd like to know what other states can do to replicate that success. I live in New York City, it has as many corporations, but the quality of life isn't as high and I'd like to live in a nice place.
HelenAngel t1_iqwdgoh wrote
Ahhhh, I see what you mean. Honestly a big part is the residents here are pretty involved in giving back to the community. I don’t know it is specifically in New York but this is the first place I’ve lived where I’ve seen private citizens donate tons of their time & money to schools, parks, libraries, museums, etc.
Gwtheyrn t1_iqpohlp wrote
Last I checked, the only poll showing her that close was Trafalgar Group, with a very poor accuracy rating and funded solely by the GOP. Every other poll I've seen has her getting blown TF out.
HelenAngel t1_iqrd8s1 wrote
She’s not just a forced birther, she’s also racist & a bigot. She has come out repeatedly against LGBTQIA+ so the chances of her winning in the Seattle area are, thankfully, slim. She needs to move to a nutbag red state.
matchettehdl OP t1_iqsijgk wrote
You do realize Trafalgar has an A- rating from FiveThirtyEight, right? And the latter had declared the former the second most accurate pollster of 2020?
pejoshkwe t1_isxxruq wrote
Oct 11 from FiveThirtyhEight. Murray 50.4%, Smiley 40.6%. Smiley is getting desperate. Also, no ratings from FiveThirtyEight.
LapLeong t1_iqpr0sy wrote
Yes, I forgot about that. Didn't Trafalgar's polling do okay in 16 and 20?
joelofallen t1_iqpmyoz wrote
Latest poll on fivethirtyeight has Murray up 52%-40%. I am guessing the previous poll might be an outlier. I would be surprised if Smiley pulled an upset.
Gwtheyrn t1_iqpolz2 wrote
That outlier poll is GOP-funded and run by a GOP aligned polling company with a D rating.
LapLeong t1_iqpomv2 wrote
Do you think Julie Anderson will win the SoS role? She has a strong message and supports RCV.
Murray probably won't pull an upset as the fundamentals are against her. Washington State Democrats are an otherwise competent bunch.
joelofallen t1_iqpqfjw wrote
It wouldn’t shock me but I really don’t have a sense of which way it might go.
Worstcase_Rider t1_iqpocp8 wrote
Have you been paying attention? She's closing the gap...
HelenAngel t1_iqrdi7h wrote
Good to know. I will help campaign against her then. We do not need a batshit crazy, Q-anon forced birther racist bigot like Smiley representing anything in WA.
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