Submitted by MisterPaulCraig t3_10rt2nr in dataisbeautiful
Galaghan t1_j6z11ux wrote
Reply to comment by MisterPaulCraig in [OC] An interactive map of North America's prognosticating groundhogs by MisterPaulCraig
What does "sees it's shadow" mean?
Aren't groundhogs jittery creatures that look around constantly? How would they not see their shadow?
MisterPaulCraig OP t1_j6z9bw6 wrote
In practice, I think it means that if the sun is out it will see its shadow. You can get more of the lore on this page: https://groundhog-day.com/history-of-groundhog-day
DoubleFelix t1_j701h2d wrote
Which is weird; I'd expect a shadow to mean more sun to mean clearer skies to mean more spring-like. Maybe these groundhogs know something about meteorology that I don't.
MisterPaulCraig OP t1_j70ro5f wrote
It's counterintuitive, but spring weather is usually pretty overcast and grey, which is what this comes from I think.
> Spring weather can be pretty miserable — oftentimes it’s grey and rainy and wet — whereas the middle of winter has plenty of bright, clear days where it is insensibly cold outside. Essentially, the Candlemas prediction assumes that overcast weather is a harbinger of spring, whereas a clear day means you’re still in the thick of winter.
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