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masseydnc t1_j83lqu6 wrote

I find it very difficult to believe, just from the standpoint of probability, that there were precisely zero earthquakes between magnitude 2.5 and 4.0, as indicated by the comment.

Also, were the earthquakes evenly spaced in time, as the lines on the chart appear to be? This makes it appear that the quakes occurred exactly 19 minutes after the last one.

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madhatterlock t1_j83ngqa wrote

No, that isn't what it's say. The USGS only tracks earthquakes above 2.5.

USGS earthquake monitor

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masseydnc t1_j83q1gl wrote

Okay, but none of them are displayed on this graph. I would bet a paycheck that there were hundreds of quakes between 2.5 and 4.0; this graph implies there were none. That's all.

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borgendurp t1_j84k0jx wrote

Weird Hill ngl.. why does it necessarily have to be 2.5+? There could also be 0 from 0 to 2.5..

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Tommyblockhead20 t1_j85jt2t wrote

They never explained it but I just realized there’s a note on the image saying it’s only earthquakes >2.5. I guess they are upset the smallest it shows is 4 and not the 2.5 it claims

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borgendurp t1_j85qgh3 wrote

It doesn't claim anything.. it says its only showing above 2.5.. who says there's any below 4? The numbers between 0-2.5 are apparently just as common as 0-4, namely 0

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Tommyblockhead20 t1_j86d03r wrote

Huh? That’s just… not how earthquakes work. I guarantee you you’ve lived through probably hundreds, if not thousands of magnitude 1 earthquakes. They are extremely weak, but extremely common.

Every 1 number higher on the Richter scale, that means earthquakes are 10 times as powerful, but 10 times less likely. So for every 8 magnitude earthquake (like the one in Turkey), there was probably about 10 7’s, 100 6’s, 1,000 5’s, 10,000 4’s, 100,000 3’s, 1,000,000 2’s, and 10,000,000 1’s.

So no, I don’t think there was 2 7-8s, ~10 6’s, ~20 5’s, ~100 4’s, and no 0-4 magnitude earthquakes… They just didn’t bother showing the super weak and super frequent ones.

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borgendurp t1_j86ml3w wrote

.. no, in fact, I have not lived through "probably hundreds" as the biggest I've lived through was a 1,5 one. And that was the only one above 1 where I live. In 28 years.

>So for every 8 magnitude earthquake (like the one in Turkey), there was probably about 10 7’s, 100 6’s, 1,000 5’s, 10,000 4’s, 100,000 3’s, 1,000,000 2’s, and 10,000,000 1’s.

>So no, I don’t think there was 2 7-8s, ~10 6’s, ~20 5’s, ~100 4’s, and no 0-4 magnitude earthquakes… They just didn’t bother showing the super weak and super frequent ones.

You're just literally pulling numbers out of your ass lol.

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Tommyblockhead20 t1_j86ru04 wrote

Ok, I will admit I misspoke there. Since magnitude 1 quakes are so weak, they actual affect a tiny area, so you won’t actually be on top of the epicenter for that many earthquakes unless you live on a fault line. What I meant was you are in the general area of that many quakes, like within 100-200 km. A distance that you would feel it if there was a major earthquake. Also, I wasn’t talking about earthquakes above 1, but earthquakes that were 1. But it doesn’t even really made as that was just an example.

My point is small earthquakes are way more common than the large ones. I forgot to include my sources for the frequency numbers, so here you go.

https://www.iris.edu/hq/inclass/fact-sheet/how_often_do_earthquakes_occur

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richter_magnitude_scale

For the Turkey numbers, I literally looked at the image from this post and did my best guess. Feel free to count them yourself and let me know what you counted. But I think even at a quick glance, it’s pretty clear that the lower the magnitude was, the more quakes there were, until suddenly it hits 4 and there’s 0 with a magnitude less than 4? No way. That’s just not how earthquakes work. In fact, almost nothing in nature works like that. It’s usually some kind of curve, not exponentially increasing and then suddenly 0.

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borgendurp t1_j86subu wrote

Literally. None of your sources. Back your claim. If this is so undeniably true. Show me something that literally says "between 4,0 or higher earthquakes, there's always minor earthquakes in the range of 0-4,0". I think we both know you can't do that.

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