Submitted by bitmoresalt t3_126vnvp in dataisbeautiful
Comments
Clonedtobeyou t1_jeb67qa wrote
Maybe they are optimistic about human extinction
bitmoresalt OP t1_jeb6zmb wrote
Even the optimists are unsure, so they still give about 10% chance of bad effects (on average). Similarly for the pessimist.
The data actually works in the other way: the right is the raw data, and the left subdivision is based on that.
Original visualization (which is also pretty beautiful but perhaps a bit harder to interpret): https://twitter.com/KatjaGrace/status/1635280174748164096/photo/1
xopranaut t1_jeb7ce5 wrote
Not OP, but here’s what I assume is the report: https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/
It must be tough being a researcher in a field that you think will bring about the extinction of the human race.
bitmoresalt OP t1_jeb7zc2 wrote
Data source: https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/
Tools used: Python (Matplotlib)
Callisto778 t1_jebao5z wrote
It will be extremely good and has the potential to create utopia on Earth.
torchma t1_jebbfa1 wrote
In other words it's arbitrary groupings. The original visualization doesn't suffer from that.
LoveArguingPolitics t1_jebbjod wrote
This is horrible presentation... I have no idea what this is trying to display
BernieEcclestoned t1_jebn0zn wrote
That is actually beautiful data, thanks.
VulcanHajin t1_jebnzdd wrote
Hold on, you have like 5% that think it's awesome to have human exctinction?
This is more about the mindset of 1.7% of AI researchers than anything else
Guesswhosbackbackaga t1_jecfeuc wrote
Assuming I kind of understand what the heck this is saying, Can someone tell us what the area is “under the curve” on the right side is? I want three categories, blue/green, yellow, orange/red.
[deleted] t1_jecfxp9 wrote
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recklesslyvertical t1_jeclzh8 wrote
Computer becomes smart and decides Mans bad, but murder is worse, computer then decides to just kill all computers to curb man. Wake up one day back in the dark ages.
joeldebruijn t1_jedabcg wrote
Spoke to my friend Daneel Olivaw yesterday and he said they just need more positronic brains and mumbled something about 3 laws isn't enough and they needed law nr 0.
thehourglasses t1_jedfubl wrote
Narrator: “It was in fact incredibly bad, and created dystopia on Earth”.
Dear_Spring7657 t1_jedgbg0 wrote
This info is leaning hard on the "assume that it will someday exist", it's pretty misleading on first and second glance. I know you probably didn't design the survey, but this attitude towards GAI should really be presented through a more neutral question.
GeoSol t1_jedhdc9 wrote
AI will be great!
I's the humans in power using it, that are likely to do something weird with it.
Like tools are awesome, but they can also be used to brutally murder people.
Same as anything else, when you know there's a danger, you take some time to put some safety measures in place.
PM_me_large_fractals t1_jefri3f wrote
What is this chart and why is it arranged this way???
Very confusing, is the left pipe self indentified categories with the right being those categories opinions? Took me a minute to get to that though.
mil24havoc t1_jeb5l9z wrote
How do you get the subdivisions on the right given the category labels on the left?
How can 10% of optimists say AI will be bad or extremely bad long term?