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NorCalNavyMike t1_iumrtag wrote

One of those posts I can’t quite grok as ‘beautiful,’ no matter how telling or informative it might be. 😭

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rosetechnology OP t1_iums5l6 wrote

Source: NHTSA

Generated using Rose AI

There is a lot of variance in the number of child pedestrian deaths on Halloween night (in 2020 there were 0 but in 2019 there was only one), which is speculated to be because Halloween is falling on different nights of the week each year.

The average for this time period on Halloween night is ~4.

See the chart here.

47

IDontWearAHat t1_iumtly8 wrote

Seen many subs post reminders to drive careful on halloween. In the comments was always at least one who took it as a personal attack.

160

TomaCzar t1_iumttzn wrote

I get it, but it's kind of obvious. My question would be, why the super low lows. What's happening on those days? My first guess was national holidays, but there doesn't seem to be much of a lull during the summer months, if at all, so I don't think it makes much sense to correlate it with days off from school.

Unless it's not just days off from school, but also decreased attendance at work. National holidays would mean time off from school and work (for most) and might account for a steep decline. IDK, just random guessing without the source data.

6

magnus_lzy t1_iumwoda wrote

This is interesting....and depressing

1

nethobo t1_iumz8nf wrote

I can totally see how this is a thing.

I almost hit a child last night. A mom (assuming relation for brevity) took her hand off her child for just long enough to pick up a smaller kid. He took the opportunity to run right to the next house, across the street. Fortunately I was going like 10mph at most because I know the neighborhood, and was watching closely. Still only had a couple of feet to spare due to reaction time.

No one was hurt and the little purple dinosaur got a scolding. Hopefully he learned to keep an eye out for cars. I would not have been able to live with myself if I had hit him.

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IAMCHEESE24 t1_iumzadw wrote

and people still do this stupid pegan BS. Just buy candy for your kids and let them ware costumes for a day. But letting them walk around alone in the night cause "its hAlOWrenn" is just dumb.

But I would like to grasp on this opportunity to congratulate to the US again on killing children much more succesfuly than any other western country. Lets go "greatest nation"...

(sarcasm)

−20

deTrekke t1_iumzk5q wrote

Where is the sort animation?

2

deeoh t1_iun0tem wrote

> I would not have been able to live with myself if I had hit him.

Exactly. No matter who would actually be at fault, I would be devastated.

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Zoralliah_Author t1_iun9j7p wrote

I'd be interested in seeing that kind of variance incorporated into the graph somehow, since mere totals obscures this info. Looking at the data, I see this is from the US. That's also a good thing to incorporate into your title or as a mention for your data source.

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SSChicken t1_iund1l0 wrote

At first glance it looks terrible, but I think there's more to the story than "Halloween is dangerous for kids". This would be like saying more kids die in skiing accidents between Oct-Mar than Apr-Sept. It looks like about 2.5 times as many kids are killed on Halloween than any other day of the year, but from my experience there are far far more than 2.5 times as many kids out walking around. I'd say 10-20 times as many kids easily. I'd suspect that any given child on Halloween has a far less chance of being killed than any other given day specifically because people are watching out, only the increase of awareness doesn't make up for the increase in pedestrians. That's why we talk about accidents per 100k miles with drivers, to normalize the data. I'd suspect the data is naturally pretty normalized except for one day a year (Halloween).

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stink3rbelle t1_iune6ja wrote

Also probably the real reason kids don't play outside anymore, not the parenting choices (except safety choices)

2

OutOfTheAsh t1_iunm7s3 wrote

> only 6ish deaths below the median.

I think you fail to make this valid point strongly enough. The median for any given date in the sample looks not much more than 15, but that's a cumulative total over a 15 year span. So the median for any unique individual day is ~1, and 1 is the below median minimum.

Other than Halloween, the sliver of not-noise should mostly be around weekends and holidays. As seen with Covid, the number of deaths decline around these times and peak the day after them. A simple matter that hospital administrators and state health board workers are disinclined to work on days off.

This sort of data isn't precise down to date of mortality incident or subsequent hour of death. It's when the report is recorded--generally M-F; 9-5.

5

NookSwzy t1_iuntv26 wrote

Also roads designed for cars rather than pedestrians. There's a road in Utah that engineers refuse to augment to improve safety because it would reduce throughput and car speed.

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NookSwzy t1_iunu6go wrote

They didn't even say anything crazy, all they suggested was making cities safer for pedestrians. Kinda weird that you're reacting like this.

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Booties t1_iunufbj wrote

It seems like these data might correlate with the sunset and external temperature. Seems like the rolling average is a bit higher from October to December (less day light) before it drops in January through the spring due to lower temperatures. Just a hypothesis from looking at this. No real analytics here.

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ar243 t1_iunwdvk wrote

In the past few days I've interacted with two people from that sub.

One person suggested "we need to put nails in intersections to stop cars" after someone got hit at a crosswalk.

The other suggested we should just remove highways.

It's annoying to hear the same insanely impractical talking points parroted by some redditors who watched a YouTube video.

−1

ar243 t1_iunwxag wrote

You should take a look at what they actually believe.

The last post I saw was about putting nails in an intersection to get revenge for a pedestrian that got hit.

One guy I talked to literally said "it's a war" between pedestrians and cars, in defense of the whole nails thing.

They're lunatics, and they just parrot the same talking points from a popular YouTube video.

−21

matthewtheninja t1_iunxsht wrote

A lot of highways should be removed, or at the very least minimized. The American experiment in paving our cities to make highways and parking lots has proven to be a bad decision in a million different ways.

I’d be interested in hearing your counterpoints against developing walkable cities and reducing our car dependence.

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matthewtheninja t1_iunycgi wrote

I have no interest in this subreddit, never been there and don’t care to go there.

I don’t see what that has to do with my simple assertion that we should strive to develop more walkable living spaces in this country.

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ar243 t1_iunz33v wrote

"Of the 6,205 pedestrian traffic fatalities, 181 (3%) were children in 2019." - NHTSA

181 annual child deaths in a country of 330,000,000 people is not "so many kids". That's 0.00005% in case you want a percentage.

140 children die each year from choking, should we get rid of every single thing that could cause choking too? Because the death of even one child is one too many, right?

−1

randomname1561 t1_iuo1nb7 wrote

Bit odd that it doesn't spike over Summer.

I bet it used to

5

randomname1561 t1_iuo227q wrote

I drive like I'm running away from a mobster's house after I got caught nailing his wife but on Halloween I do 5-10 under the limit everywhere I go and in areas with pedestrian traffic if I'm going over 10mph I'm coasting with my foot on the brake.

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ar243 t1_iuo24jn wrote

I never said it shouldn't. I think public transportation and mobility should be a higher priority.

But the people from r/fuckcars are incredibly annoying. It's a constant barrage of dumb ideas ("let's put nails in the intersections to stop people from driving") and the same 5 parroted talking points they got from a YouTuber repeated ad nauseum.

Like, we get it, you've all said the same five things a billion times. Shut the fuck up already.

0

Verynearlydearlydone t1_iuo49f6 wrote

Many don’t because it would mean they admit fault in design. The Raquel Nelson story is a deeply saddening one and yet in many instances like it the DOT refuses to implement safer changes. It’s criminal negligence.

The author Jessie Singer had her boyfriend die. She followed that same path for a decade as person after person died and NYC refused to introduced safety upgrades. It wasn’t until a terrorist ran dozens of people over that they did something.

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EvilDarkCow t1_iuo4kbi wrote

I nearly got t-boned by an Explorer backing out of a driveway last night, as I was coming home from picking my sister up from a party. The driver wasn't paying any attention at all and backed out at Mach 2 speed. I laid on my horn and they just kept coming and coming. They finally stopped about an inch away from hitting my car.

There was an entire (assumed) family, two adults and three kids, right on the other side of my car and they most certainly would've been mowed down if I weren't there.

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tommytornado t1_iuo5jnq wrote

Sorry but because it's in a different colour it's really unclear if there is a spike at Halloween or if it's just a marker line for the day

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OuidOuigi t1_iuocgbg wrote

Yep. Wait until they damage a tire and it comes apart killing a family or lose control hitting someone else/another biker.

Then they can't imagine having a family to shop for, disabled people who need specialized vehicles just to get to public transportation, weather extremes in many places, the extra time it takes, and many other situations where a majority of people will prefer a car.

Their obsession with trains reminds me of Sheldon from their favorite show Big Bang Theory.

0

schorschico t1_iuogpmw wrote

I don't know about you but I have had to walk by the pediatric cancer section in one of the city hospitals and I wish I didn't have to do it ever again. It's devastating. I never think "Hey, it's not that bad. The percentage is almost zero".

Car crashes are the FIRST cause if death for kids (not just as pedestrians, but as a consequence of a car oriented society we live in). More than cancer. Allow me to at least feel like shit about that fact.

10

diox8tony t1_iuohsu2 wrote

Should've posted this yesterday morning. Reminder

1

printerinkistoomuch t1_iuojdwy wrote

> I would not have been able to live with myself if I had hit him.

As a pizza delivery driver, hitting a kid is my #1 fear. And Halloween is usually our 2nd busiest day of the year, so I'm driving through dozens of neighborhoods trying to deliver food on time while also dodging kids on every street. Shit is stressful.

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Clean-Position-751 t1_iuopah1 wrote

22 year old me: Halloween isn't scary

22 year old me after seeing this graph: Fuck.

3

Hairy-Owl-5567 t1_iuopeq9 wrote

You're literally the only person talking about that subreddit. Dude literally just said we should have walkable cities and you're popping off about pedestrian wars like it has any relevance to the anything.

13

PortGlass t1_iuotoz8 wrote

I would have expected that to be A LOT higher. If is was 20x a normal day, it wouldn’t have surprised me. I always roll my windows down and drove like 3 MPH through my neighborhood on Halloween.

1

kinezumi89 t1_iuowcxv wrote

I thought the orange line was just indicating where Halloween fell on the chart and was confused...like it's roughly constant all year lol. I feel like making the Halloween line orange makes it look like an indicator line instead of an addition bar on the histogram

9

Fredanwilma t1_iup03ok wrote

Yep. Leave it to Reddit to find the crap-and-hairball lining.

1

Chakamalik t1_iup0amr wrote

So... although it sucks to have a kid hit by a car, it’s still extremely unlikely it will happen. Thanks, I’ll continue too let my kinds have fun :)

1

MOSER1214 t1_iup0gve wrote

Only double? I would have guessed closer to 5-10X.

1

tyen0 t1_iup0pmp wrote

Including 18 year olds as children is a bit odd. I wonder what portion they are.

wow. Using your source of https://cdan.dot.gov/query

40%(4/10) on 2020-10-31, 50%(1/2) on 2019-10-31 were 18.

21%(39/186) of the total from 2006 to 2020 halloweens.

Did you intentionally do that to inflate the numbers by including legal adults in your definition of children? Why?

0

JesusIsMyZoloft t1_iup1gib wrote

Fun fact: in years when Halloween falls on a weekend, child pedestrian deaths are comparable to any other day of the year. There is a movement to officially declare Halloween as the last Saturday in October.

Edit: After further research, either my "fun fact" is incorrect, or I don't know how to use the NHTSA data tool correctly.

2

mikehawk1988 t1_iup1ih9 wrote

Also drove normally yesterday and at some point I said to myself "fuck, I could as well just have hit a kid". Also see where this is coming from.

1

Khelek7 t1_iup1wuj wrote

Best day... Jan 2nd. Wierd.

1

misterygus t1_iup4uvd wrote

Sorry is that orange line supposed to be part of the data or just a marker?

1

Lance_E_T_Compte t1_iup5lo3 wrote

Cars kill kids.

Cars melt glaciers.

Cars ruin cities.

/r/fuckcars

1

robots_in_riot_gear t1_iup7cda wrote

Dude ran a 4 way stop sign blatantly around all of us last night

1

alfalfareignss t1_iupa66u wrote

Same! I was driving along a dark 1 lane highway (there’s almost no street lighting in the area I live) and mother and her 4 children were standing in the shoulder lane and I did not see them until they were maybe 10ft away… on a highway where the speed limit it 55mph.

I could not have been more than 2-3 feet from this family. In the pitch black. I had to pull over I was so shaken by how close so many bodies were to my car.

3

WayneConrad t1_iupe093 wrote

I think all places that deliver should make Halloween a "no penalty or freebies for being late" day. Y'all should be able to go as slow as you want to keep everyone safe, and I'll eat cold fries without complaining.

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WellWornLife t1_iupftu8 wrote

Can you please rearrange the data from least to most? Or, even better, most in the middle and each lesser day alternating left right to form a bell curve?!

I want to see how uniform the distribution is. My guess is “very uniform.” But just impossible to tell from here.

2

illikwid t1_iupi92a wrote

must be all the kids high on fentanyl walking into cars

2

WayneConrad t1_iupixis wrote

I think all places that deliver should make Halloween a "no penalty or freebies for being late" day. Y'all should be able to go as slow as you want to keep everyone safe, and I'll eat cold fries without complaining.

9

psychesfool t1_iupmqew wrote

Every time I see a post from this sub I wonder if data is actually beautiful or if I am just forcibly being fed upsetting statistics...

1

NookSwzy t1_iupngbg wrote

It really isn't. I despise a lot of things about that sub and have completely stopped participating in it once they decided to start advocating for hurting drivers' property to spread the message. However, antiwork literally complains about any form of work, politics downvotes anything remotely conservative, and conservative bans anything that isn't a trump talking point. I haven't seen anyone get banned on fuckcars.

1

aaron301 t1_iupzwgz wrote

Not surprising at all. Watched a few close calls due to parents speeding around so their kids could hit up more houses. Imagin beign run over because someone was in a rush for some candy

1

MaxRoofer t1_iuq46fo wrote

Yeah, I wish they wouldn’t, but I’ve walked down the street with many a friend who think it’s the cars job to get out of their way.

Maybe so, but if you get hit and die then I guess your family can win a lawsuit, but obviously not worth it.

−3

jsim3542 t1_iuq4ij3 wrote

How many we snag this year ?

1

Pringletache t1_iuqe7x2 wrote

To explain the variability in the background data, it’s likely to be because between 2006 and 2020 the days aren’t spread evenly on each date. For 14 years, if each date has 2 of each day, then the data should be pretty consistent, however if you take the difference between Jan 1st and 2nd for example, the distribution is:

  • Monday 2(Jan 1st) 3(Jan 2nd)
  • Tuesday 3. 2
  • Wednesday 2. 3
  • Thursday 2. 2
  • Friday 2. 2
  • Saturday 1. 2
  • Sunday 3. 1

So it’s likely to all be noise apart from Halloween.

Edit:formatting

5

MashedCandyCotton t1_iuqhrlq wrote

>A.) population density

22 of US states/territories have a higher population density than Europe. So why doesn't Ohio have proper public transport?

> B.) they have a prime geography for it.

What? What is that even supposed to mean?

7

leadenjerry t1_iuqhyjh wrote

According to census data more than 80 percent of Americans live in urban areas, as opposed to rural areas. People in Europe don’t walk from city to city. We (Europeans) also have cars. Walkable cities are supposed to offer other modes of transport WITHIN a city. Which is possible when you don’t have to spread out buildings to accommodate huge inner city arterial roads and giant parking lots.

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fun_guy02142 t1_iuqpz2p wrote

There are also a ton more kids out and about for longer periods of time, so this isn’t an apples to apples comparison, but I get your point.

1

Notten t1_iuqrusl wrote

I'm just going to point out that this is 14 years of totals with a difference of what looks like 30 between peaks. That means that 2 a year in whatever area it is is not an endemic like it's made out to be. A trend sure, be sade yes, but there are much bigger risks to children then trick or treating on Halloween.

1

Bucket1982 t1_iuqtlr5 wrote

People must have already ran all the damn kids over around here. Barely seen any trick or treaters. 🤷‍♀️

1

martinsky3k t1_iuqw7rf wrote

Penalty and freebies?

Oh you fancy americans. Here in Sweden food gets delivered to your house lukewarm, most of the time you have to go outside to meet the delivery guy, he is too lazy to go to your door.

All this for a premium markup on anything you are buying. Aaaah the beauty of home delivery here.

5

who8mydamnoreos t1_iuqx4rw wrote

Got a Halloween hater on my street, every year he takes the opportunity to drive his giant truck 30 mph up and down the street for no reason

2

RevolutionaryGlass0 t1_iuqzo4t wrote

Plenty of parts of the US have a much higher population density than Europe. I live in a small, rural town. The countryside is only 200 metres away from me. Where I live is still fully walkable.

There's no reason that massive places like LA or San Diego shouldn't be better designed. Even sub-urbs, most of which have a higher population than where I live by the way, could be far better.

5

leahjuu t1_iuqzro1 wrote

I thought it was pointing out that Halloween deaths aren’t remarkably high despite the fact that people make assumptions & caution around it. It is more interesting knowing that the orange line is representing data; but it probably should have been left the same color and labeled next to the line.

7

ImRickJameXXXX t1_iur2bly wrote

And no child in the US was ever killed by poison treats from a stranger. Tho one died via his dad!

source

2

marle217 t1_iur721v wrote

this article has chart with similar data

I've been hearing a lot of complaints that Halloween wasn't like it was in the 80s. (Or whenever, but I'm old and remember the 80s) Usually complaining about things like trunk or treats, or my community changed trick or treat to be on Sunday this year and earlier in the day, which meant that little kids could do the trick or treat in daylight. When I was a kid, trick or treat was always on Halloween, rain or snow, and in the dark. And often parents would be in the car to follow you slowly and drive you past the dark houses to the next clump of candy houses. But that was all incredibly dangerous. We're doing some better things now, though we also have bigger cars that make it harder to even see children crossing the street. I really hope we learn to take car safety seriously. We do so much else for children's safety, but cars are by far the leading cause of death under 18.

2

dev-sda t1_iurai1x wrote

> This country has always been highly spread out and it’s simply not practical to adapt the entire countries infrastructure to change that within a lifetime.

Considering the country went from (mass manufactured) cars not existing to the majority of people owning a car, public transit system being demolished, urban freeways and interstate highways all within a lifetime; why is it suddenly impossible to do the reverse?

The USA was built on the back of rail. "population density" and "geography" are fundamentally a-historic excuses. Not only can it be built, it's literally already been done before. In a time when population density was significantly lower and geography significantly more challenging.

4

Lerf3 t1_iurcik9 wrote

Is the orange bar part of the data or just a marker for the day..?

1

IamBlade t1_iurmdgf wrote

When will we get the numbers for this year?

1

nethobo t1_iurpn7x wrote

Could be worse for a lot of reasons.

A car weighs a lot more than a sprinting adult. The inertia and potential force applied are much higher.

The bumper is at a height that would connect with vital areas on a child. Youre not just looking at broken legs.

If you dont see the kid in time, they may well end up UNDER the car or worse, the wheels.

4

zBarba t1_iurr9i6 wrote

"Damn kids should look properly before crossing the road", Says the adult driving a 2-tonne death machine.

It's clear that kids are the victims here. It shouldn't be deadly to walk.

4

zBarba t1_iurrkaj wrote

America has a huge problem with cars.

  • Speed limits are too high
  • Everything is far away and spread out
  • Some trucks are so huge that you'd literally not be able to see a kid in front of the car
3

Jaken005 t1_iurwprg wrote

Even in the arctic regions of finland almost all villagaes and towns have separated walking/cycling paths that kids kan use to go to school or visit friends. If you have enough money to build huge highways you have enough money to make a sidewalk and some safe crosswalks with speed bumps and pedestrian refuges.

3

thyme_cardamom t1_ius4tvh wrote

And having to cross large, fast roads between sidewalks. Unfortunately, to get most places you have to cross many streets to get there, and if the traffic is fast and the visibility bad, then it doesn't matter how good the sidewalk is.

3

nethobo t1_iusalrg wrote

As a general rule, youre not wrong. Its a bit different in this neighborhood (eastern MA). Pretty sure these streets were designed for horse and buggy. People park on the street here and that makes it a 1 lane road in most cases. It's really not built for anything modern.

2

san_vicente t1_iusawmm wrote

I hate to break it to you but walking was around before horse and buggy. Pedestrians used to flow through streets and jaywalking wasn’t a thing. If a street is like that, it shouldn’t have any cars at all, or be subject to glacial speed limits.

4

MaxRoofer t1_iusmlua wrote

How do you mean, exactly?That the cars don’t look out for pedestrians or pedestrians think cars should watch out for them?

Also, not sure my comment made sense. I meant to say, I wish cars would watch out for people. But seeing as not all do, people shoul watch for themselves.

I actually hit a person one time. They were texting and walking and I stopped right in front of them, and I kid you not they walked right I to my car.

I could have gone around, but wanted them to learn a lesson. They got mad at me.

−2

GlobalSpread3429 t1_iut1vkr wrote

That drivers don‘t look out for pedestrians.

Or, more fundamentally, how infrastructure is built centered around cars. In a well built neighborhood there is almost no risk of hitting a pedestrian. Both because there is a lot of space dedicated to them and because the road is designed in a way that you can’t really go faster than ~10mph in a car. Slowing things down reduces risk considerably

4

GlobalSpread3429 t1_iutggvi wrote

Well you should never expect that someone looks out for you ofc, but obviously the more dangerous your life of transport, the more you should look out for others. And cars are pretty dangerous

3

MINIMAN10001 t1_iutr47u wrote

He was going 10 mph through a neighborhood keeping eyes out for children acting dangerously. The reality is childrens stupidity is a bottomless pit, they can and fall in front of your tire and there's nothing you can do about it.

Sometimes life deals a shitty hand.

2

bowsmountainer t1_iuv16h0 wrote

Perhaps it would be an idea to drastically reduce speed limits near housing on Halloween. After all, I would hope that people care more for children's lives than the speed at which they are allowed to drive at.

2

Chakamalik t1_iuvrv7q wrote

Yeeah sure... don’t say the full truth. your own link shows that 4074 children have died just in 2016 in ALL car related deaths (most recent data from your link).

While this graph shows the number of children killed while WALKING and it is a cumulative amount between the years 2004-2020 (17 years total). So an average of 3-4 kids on Halloween...

So once again not much of a change when you break it down

1

Sea_Phrase_Loch t1_ivm3qmi wrote

The reason all of those things need cars right now isn’t because they inherently need cars. For groceries, you can easily wheel around a small cart if the grocery store is a 5 minute walk away. (If your neighborhood is designed for walking.) A lot of disabled people who can’t ride on public transportation without specialized vehicles probably can’t drive cars either. (Some common types of disabilities where you need a specialized vehicle are probably like disabilities where you faint (which is quite the liability driving a moving vehicle) or disabilities where your legs don’t work or are weak (you do need reliably working legs to drive a car, afaik. There are modified versions to solve that but depending there’s likely still the difficulty of getting out/in of the car each time as well))

I’m not saying bikes are less dangerous than cars, but they’re not more dangerous either.

It’s also not about nobody owning a car. Cars will always be necessary for some jobs or locations. Just owning a car should not be a requirement to live.

1