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mathsTeacher82 OP t1_iyogy20 wrote

Data: Official FIFA rankings, updated using Elo rating system

Tools: Python for simulation, JavaScript (D3.js) for chart

This article describes the simulation algorithm and also the chart creation

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hurricane14 t1_iyq8cg0 wrote

Something seems fairly flawed if it has the US as an average favorite in the quarterfinals - 22/41. They'll be heavy underdogs to Argentina and not enough of a favorite vs Australia to offset it in the off chance that they also pull the upset in the first round

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