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ikashnitsky OP t1_izrwvm4 wrote

Reply to comment by Not_Legal_Advice_Pod in Football betting experiment: what if I consistently bet against the odds, on the least likely match outcome? This is the English Premier League. What happened in 2019/20? (sorry for the third similar post, I test different competitions incrementally after the jaw-dropping World Cups' results) [OC] by ikashnitsky

Exactly. The big question is whether the surprising results at World Cups are random or systematic.

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Not_Legal_Advice_Pod t1_izrz4zo wrote

What that 2019 outlier? I don't think you can get to statistical significance on that one year. This looks like what I'd expect it to look like. You're probably better getting into the big data game by game statistics if you're looking for sings of tampering.

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FrankDrakman t1_izsrlcu wrote

Wasn't that Leicester's year? No one was picking them for anything, so every game would have been an upset, at least at the beginning.

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