source : https://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/winner

tool : https://sankeymatic.com/

Improved version of https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/zjeouy/oc_2022_world_cup_probabilities_of_final_victory/ taking into account your feedback

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If Aregentina wins i will get an A in math class for correct prediction

Anulo mufa.

If France wins I get +10% for correct prediction 👍👍

Are the odds for the final really exactly 50-50?

I checked 6 betting websites, 5 had Argentina favourites 2.7 return vs France 2.75 or 2.8 return. One had France as a favourite. So no not 50/50 from what I can see.

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How does it make sense that Croatia's chances were greater before the game with Japan than before the next game with Brasil?

They drew that game 0-0 against Belgium with a lot of luck and didn’t show much quality

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Personally, France and England were my favourite teams ^^

What's the possibility that people give enough of a fuck that slavery was used to build stadiums to not watch this cluster fuck of a world cup?

the house always wins

Check the source. It was exactly 50/50 yesterday when I did this. Today it's 51/49. It's moving.

It is indeed moving, I'm in tears

And if France wins you'll get an F.

(A for Argentina, F for France)

Oh, and a D for a Draw

Oh no, so that was that hidden catch??😳

Hmmm. I hope one team wins..😳😳

Good luck

This is football-fans, most of them dont care about slavey if they get their fix. Personally have I not seen a minute of official covarage.

If there is one team I can guarantee(-ish) will not win, that is England. Always hot in, thinking they are the best, but their inflated egos never get them anywhere. When that is said, England for sure has some great young talent coming up.

Weird how France had such low chances when they were on the opposite side of the bracket compared to Brazil and Argentina.

Yeah but belgium is on paper really good, i think they were ranked top 5 before the wc, so a draw against them should be good no?

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Rankings don’t mean anything.

Belgium were not playing good and just lost 2-0 to Morocco.

Meh I’m watching it live

People unfortunately tends to get used to cruelty, specially one that happens with people they can't relate to

God fuck off it gets so tiring reading salty anglophobes constantly chat this utter nonsense about us having "inflated egos", probably the least egotistical big team in the entire tournament. Who on the England team has an ego? Literally none of them, a group of players renowned for being humble. And then we lose to France, a team full of massive fucking egos, mostly because of the ref. So I don't see how you can "guarantee" we wouldn't win

In no way is this actually true though. You're getting confused by a comedy football song ("It's coming home"), and the general jokey positive atmosphere around English football at the moment now that we're no longer absolutely dreadful every tournament. The idea of England being any more arrogant about their chances than any other nation is just a meme (for us and other nations).

The players are a young and down to earth group, the manager is the furthest from arrogant you can get, and no pundits back here were seriously predicting England to win the world cup. On the BBC the predictions were 7x Brazil, 3 x Argentina, 2 x France and 1 x England (which she admitted was just a heart decision and her head said Brazil).

As for guaranteeing we'll never win anything, I can't really disagree considering we've never won a thing in my lifetime, but we were only a penalty shootout away from winning the Euros!

Fifa rankings literally mean nothing. They're calculated in a bizzare way.

Brazil won and was known as next opponent. Sure, they were strong favorites against South Korea anyway, but Croatia's chance to win overall would have relied on pretty unlikely outcomes anyway and an upset victory of South Korea would have helped a lot (Croatia beating Brazil was the other unlikely option, of course). Argentina and the Netherlands won their games, too, so the semifinal was guaranteed to have a strong opponent as well. Add a weak performance against Japan to the mix.

England never go into a world cup thinking they are the best. That is the most ridiculous shit I have ever heard. They are world class professional players who play in the premier League and champions league against the best players in the world they know exactly the quality of player and teams they are facing and know that even if you are the best your going to have to fight tooth and nail to even get to the semis.

If anything the fans have a generally pessimistic attitude.

You are giving them the money to build the stadiums. You are guilty even if you don't watch.

Bravo idiot.

Yeah people are fucked. I mean anyone who downvoted what I wrote is true evil.

We can see at least nine of them exist on this subreddit.

That's chilling to me.

Meh I hope you also get cancer. So I can watch it live.

Thankfully some people do care.

Which is why we're fucked as a species.

Virtual signalling much? Nobody loves you more after your comment. If you want to do something do. Don't just criticise others. Probably you have a mobile done on sweat shop or cloth do one by children . Shut up or do something about it. You are not a hero by condemning others. You are a villain wishing cancer. You are scum.

Said person who wish cancer on another human being lol

Bookmakers don't care about strength of teams, but about money bet on each side. If you see 5:1 odds for team A against team B, chances are team B has 5x more money bet on it already. Apparently Croatia had less bets as a percentage of all remaining teams after the game with Japan.

There it is, your true colors are showing. You don’t actually care about your fellow humans.

They are a few good players that are being hyped into insanity because of their passport (Kane is a great example of that). Just as any similarly good player are discredited because they are not british, playing in EPL.

It's also interesting that the expectation (that you put forward) for such a team is semi-finals in a World Cup. It was a wonder (esp. with Southgate) that they got to the last EC-final. A semi (in WC) for England is possible but surely not where they realistically is going to be.

Euros sure was close to a miracle. Be real, England/british is systematically arrogant. Hyping up everything with a UK-passport (and English) and playing in EPL, and talking down any equally great player who are not English. Or imagine a English player doing rather well, but are sadly not doing it in EPL are totally ignored...

The nation, not the players. British media somehow seems to think that England "surely will and deserve to be up there", but time and again reality hits them when yet another cup is over and England has traveled home a week or two before the final.

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I don't put forward an expectation I merely pointed out that even the most highly ranked teams have to work very hard to make it to the semis to illustrate the high standard of sport the is played in the world cup and that the players and teams know that so I doubt any team is going in with an inflated ego. Also last world cup England got to the semis so in terms of results Southgate is probably the best performing England manager since 66.

The thing that stopped England this time around was Kane's inability to shoot between the goal posts.

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