The year Spotlight won the experts doing predictions said it was a nearly impossible to call three way race for best picture. They were used to either a runaway favorite or a close two picture race so they were amazed by what appeared to be a dead heat with three pictures. No one would have been shocked if any of The Revenant, The Big Short, or Spotlight had one. All three made my top ten that year but Room was #1 followed by #2 Spotlight.