We Finally Get Snowstorms.... In March

Submitted by TheCloudBoy t3_11cr4yi in newhampshire

Hopefully everyone is enjoying the snow globe across the Granite State over the past 24 hours, which is the start of a barrage of winter systems into New England the next 7 days. The next storm is forming in the Central Plains and fast approaching, here's what to know:

  1. Waves of moderate snow ahead of a coastal low developing off Long Island will march into NH overnight Monday into Tuesday.
  2. An inverted trough axis lingering overhead will allow areas of snow to continue much of Tuesday. Snow will be heaviest across eastern NH east of I-93 and north of NH-101, or to the east-northeast of this trough axis.
  3. Warning level snowfall is likely for the Lakes Region, interior coastal plain, Monadnock Region, southern White Mountains, and Northern NH away from the Upper CT & Ammonoosuc River valleys. A Winter Storm Watch was just hoisted for these areas and an advisory will likely cover all others outside of the watch area.
  4. Given timing of snow and the streak of roughly 50 accidents during each winter event continuing, I expect the Tuesday morning commute to be impacted. Expect many schools and daycares to either delay opening or close altogether.
  5. If you're an administrator, superintendent, workplace manager, etc. concerned about this event but hesitant to make a decision after last storm, I don't blame you. My advice is simple: follow subsequent forecasts, don't close your operations early, and ask questions here.

https://preview.redd.it/a51xg9u95lka1.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&v=enabled&s=f5084c35c43511a593c4ba0ae437b734a2867457

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Comments

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exhaustedretailwench t1_ja5drc0 wrote

"inverted trough axis"

talk nerdy to me, Cloud Boy

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TheCloudBoy OP t1_ja5lu1q wrote

Norlun instability trough axes are the next fun one I can't wait to unload here

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TJsName t1_ja6h1wl wrote

I'm wondering if I got caught in one a few years back (late December, maybe 2013?). Curious what your take is on this.

I was hiking Boott Spur (southern ridge on Mt Washington) and we encounters some incredibly heavy snow right at sunset. Probably coming down at 3 inches an hour, but with zero wind. We could talk normally as we navigated cairn to cairn back down to tree line. It was surreal. As we drove home (up to Gorham) it went from 10+ inches of snow to basically nothing, and then coming back down 93, we drove through an strip of snowfall that was maybe a mile or two long. It looked like a tornado of snow had gone through! I tried to figure out what would cause that, and my best guess was a Norlun trough.

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are_we_in_a_fight t1_ja4wfpl wrote

Thank you! My kids keep asking about the forecast, and I've been looking for an update from you. Haha

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scajjr29 t1_ja4l35y wrote

Fortunately most NH schools are on vacation this week.

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LilacSlumber t1_ja52wtv wrote

But not all. We go back tomorrow. Just finished our Winter Break in Fall Mountain.

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hermansupreme t1_ja4zxv0 wrote

Are you Eric Weglarz?

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TheCloudBoy OP t1_ja5aqn0 wrote

You're easily the 5th person to guess this! I won't give any hints as to who I actually am, but why do you guess I'm the former WMUR met?

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hermansupreme t1_ja5cogt wrote

I was just wondering where he/you disappeared to so I did some google detective work and saw that he/you had left and started an independent weather forecasting service. Just happened to notice you posting on here so I guessed you were Eric.

Not him?

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-RYknow t1_ja5d74h wrote

Pretty sure he's /r/TheCloudBoy, not Eric.

lol

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hermansupreme t1_ja5d1q6 wrote

Russ Murley would be my other guess.

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TheCloudBoy OP t1_ja5lrkq wrote

Hey I know Russ Murley, his name would definitely be something ski related haha

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Nowhere_X_Anywhere t1_ja63yeb wrote

>Given timing of snow and the streak of roughly 50 accidents during each
winter event continuing, I expect the Tuesday morning commute to be
impacted. Expect many schools and daycares to either delay opening or
close altogether.

What the heck is going on with these accidents. Are people just being lazy about winter driving best practices because of the mild winter? Forgot about how to drive in winter weather?

We haven't had any real surprises, or out of nowhere ice events. Just seems interesting the shear volume of vehicles involved in the incidents and the uptick in incidents.

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littleedge t1_ja6fjiw wrote

More people, less intellect.

With every passing day, my expectations regarding humans falls.

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poopdick72 t1_ja4yni7 wrote

It’s not march it’s February

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LilacSlumber t1_ja52udw wrote

He's talking about this whole week. Once we get to midnight on Tuesday, it's officially march.

Wait - that would be midnight on Wednesday...? You know what I mean!

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BuckyMcFly99 t1_ja4qkmn wrote

Looks like I’ll be remote Tuesday

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baroquesun t1_ja5es7v wrote

Ooof, so my Tuesday am flight is not looking good

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vipstrippers t1_ja5mt66 wrote

And another storm possible Friday

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Different_Ad7655 t1_ja6wvpq wrote

March is off in a very very snowy month. I certainly remember significant blizzard northeaster-type snowfall in mid-March and certainly all the way to early April. Sometimes what we get now is it and sometimes it just continues, no way of knowing

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tombradyisgod_12 t1_ja862ep wrote

Looks like 8-12” for me in the Lakes Region. More than what WMUR is saying. Interesting. Thanks Cloudboy!

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TheCloudBoy OP t1_ja8gry0 wrote

So the forecast has gone through a reduction up in the Lakes Region since I released this yesterday, the only drawback to Reddit is I don't want to bombard people with updates every 24 hours haha. 4-8" is the call for everyone in the Lakes Region except for Wakefield, Middleton, Ossipee, & Effingham (8-12" remains in play there).

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scajjr29 t1_ja8z9nb wrote

You have woefully underestimated how popular your forecasts are. Post updates anytime you want.

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doabbs t1_ja7zob2 wrote

March, in like a Lion, out like a lamb.

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