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SoundsRightToMe t1_jax3zx5 wrote

Reply to comment by underratedride in This is an old school NH snowstorm. Good to see! by ReauxChambeaux

Im sure this will get downvoted because everyone loves cloudboy apparently but he has been way off for the dover area the last few storms. We got like 5" for this storm instead of a foot like predicted. Wmur has been more accurate

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TheCloudBoy t1_jaxpmlt wrote

Tag me next time so I can at least defend my forecast; part of the reason why people like me is I'll tell you why it didn't pan out as expected. The southern end of the 12-16" band in Dover & Rochester is the only notable bust in the forecast grids for the entire state; that's a win any day, especially given the level of detail provided in my last forecast here!

The reason behind the shortfall is thermal profiles (which I discussed at length in previous posts) were abysmal both at the start and remained that way over your neck of the woods for the majority of the event. Your storm average dry & wet-bulb temperatures hovered between 32-33 degrees, a clear signal that snow ratios were not great. Also consider that totals eclipsed 14" a mere ~15 miles to your north, it was that fine of a line. As for WMUR's forecast, they had you in the 8-14" blob so they a) weren't more accurate and b) technically busted by fewer inches than I did.

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mc_lean10 t1_jay3evi wrote

I plowed all around that area today.. was about a foot. You were close enough. Keep doing your thing šŸ»

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nullcompany t1_jb08vpb wrote

Any professional daring enough to share their expert perspectives on a social media platform, with the goal of appeasing anybody, is going to combine the passion of their craft with the feedback of people who have none.

With your successes, there will become a game of identifying your failures. It feels amazing to point out someone else is wrong, the reward exists and some people collect it.

Engagement is the onramp to burn-out. As one professional to another, I encourage you to find ways to throw all your fan mail in the trash. I win arguments at work all the time but I have never won a single argument on Reddit.

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MingoRepp t1_jay5hbp wrote

Agreed. Hes been off for me too but I'd say thats typical of 'predicting' weather so I get it. I'm not going to bash the dude but I aint gonna suck him off either.It's like any other job that involves guess work like a fortune teller. I mean, You kinda know but....You don't really know do you? Lol

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TheCloudBoy t1_jayvtyc wrote

Im certainly not going to be perfrct at every 2.5 km (1.55 mi) grid cell in the map I shared, what town?

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thishasntbeeneasy t1_jbpje3s wrote

He's said up to 20" inches this weekend. NOAA shows rain all day for the seacoast, ending with potential snow that looks like it will just melt on impact.

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