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RickyDaytonaJr t1_ituube4 wrote

Because everybody recognizes that he’s going to lose by more than 10 points and no National GOP or PAC money is flowing into his campaign to pay for ads.

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jrice39 t1_ituulh8 wrote

That race is over. Throwing that money in a wishing well and wishing for him to win would have just as much of an impact on the race as paying for his campaign ads. So the money that would fund him goes elsewhere.

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kearsargeII t1_itvguba wrote

Winter rewind in with a brand new account to argue that candidates not spending money somehow leads to increased margins. Quick check of 538 suggests the exact opposite of your cherry-picked pills, with the average between Hassan and Bolduc increasing over the last month from Hassan +3.7 to Hassan + 5.5

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kearsargeII t1_itvlu7j wrote

538 is not a poll. It is an amalgamation of dozens of polls. You chose individual polls that validate your views, I chose a site that averages polls.

For that matter, 538 also rates pollsters. That 48-47 poll is notable in that it comes from a pollster that is very consistently R +1-+3. While not absolute garbage, with a B grade, it is fairly obvious that they are not properly accounting for demographics when making the polls, and are likely not fully accounting for how people answering landlines and doing polls usually lean older. The Emerson college poll is likely fairly accurate given its excellent rating and high accuracy, but the Fabrizio poll is far less likely, given that they have a C grade and very few election polls to their name. They would also have a vested interest in drumming up support for Bolduc.

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FreezingRobot t1_itwq0zp wrote

Kuster's seat is as safe as Sununu's.

Also he's one of those "no abortions ever" types who doesn't pay attention to what people are actually saying on the issue, so they probably assume he's not serious.

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HowardNelsonJr t1_itx4jzp wrote

Simple answer that he will tell you himself. No money.

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PoeticPen t1_ity47sc wrote

2022 is bad enough without adding a "Mr. Burns" to the line up lol

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