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tiddervul t1_j0ragfy wrote

It’s pure supply and demand. The people who live in these towns do not want more housing build, especially anything a younger person and family can afford. So the zoning rules and permitting process is so difficult and costly that it doesn’t happen.

Why don’t they want young families? My tax bill is ~64% spent on schools. Every little cherub costs almost $20,000 per year. Much more if they have some special needs. A family with 3 kids will cost almost 3/4 million in current dollars through high school. That household will pay less than 10% of the costs with their tax bill and of course they also get roads, police, fire, dump / trash etc.

Towns are way better off attracting older empty nesters or a massive airbnb population who uses a lot less for the same tax payment.

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OkLime8702 t1_j0rxihl wrote

Nobody wants to live in an Airbnb town either so that’s one thing. Secondly, yes it is supply and demand. 2021 and 2022 saw a massive multi year pull forward in demand while supply remained fix as it takes time to build supply. 2023 and 2024 will see a bullwhip effect of that which will be characterized by lower than average demand and finally the new supply coming to market.

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