mhornberger t1_jdy8dth wrote
Reply to comment by madrid987 in Estimates suggest population growth rate to peak at 8.6 billion by madrid987
The point is that Africa's birthrate is declining. Every time they look, the decline is happening faster than anticipated. I am confident that experts are aware of the existence of the continent of Africa, and are not excluding those countries from their population projections.
Uzbekistan also has a population of 35 million.
SalmonNgiri t1_je00hj0 wrote
I always got a chuckle from those charts that used to predict cities like Kinshasa and Lagos would have 70 million population by 2050.
Like do they think as these places urbanize they would keep having kids at the rate an agrarian population?
savvy-misanthrope t1_je8t7s7 wrote
The population of Africa has been steadily increasing, according to the United Nations:
https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/africa-population/
mhornberger t1_je8udlo wrote
Yes, I am aware that the birthrate is currently still above the replacement rate. The point was that the birthrate is declining. It is expected to dip below the replacement rate within a couple of decades. I said the birthrate was declining, not that the population was declining.
madrid987 OP t1_jdygnwy wrote
In fact, the sharp rebound in Uzbekistan's fertility rate is much more dramatic than international institutions' estimates.
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