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NetQuarterLatte OP t1_jb16eq2 wrote

>Police released surveillance images of the suspect, a man believed to be in his 30's, approximately 5'8" and last seen wearing a black jacket, gray sweatshirt and black pants.

​

>Anyone with information in regard to this incident is asked to call the NYPD’s Crime Stoppers Hotline at 1-800-577-TIPS (8477) or for Spanish, 1-888-57-PISTA (74782). The public can also submit their tips by logging onto the Crime Stoppers website at https://crimestoppers.nypdonline.org/ or on Twitter @NYPDTips.

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TheSixpencer t1_jb1emz6 wrote

But people here downvoting when you point out that fact. He will 100% be released on his own recognizance with apologies for the inconvenience. What a fucked up society we live in that we can't all agree this person deserves to rot in prison, at the very least. What he did was despicable.

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NetQuarterLatte OP t1_jb1i9df wrote

That will depend on the evidence they have on this case, but felony conviction rates dropped quite a bit in NYC.

In 2017, 14.3% of the felony arrests resulted into a felony conviction. In 2019, that was 12.0%.

In 2021, that dropped to only 6.1%.

So even if he gets arrested for a felony here, the odds are stacked in his favor (15 to 1).

The reforms (such as the discovery reform) enacted in 2020 can't be ignored.

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NetQuarterLatte OP t1_jb1itrf wrote

A better question would be: what are the odds that this individual was arrested and released for some other offense, and was only able to victimize the woman yesterday because of that?

Personally, I believe that keeping someone in jail pre-trial as punishment is not defensible, but keeping someone in jail to prevent further crimes (and to ensure the criminal doesn't skip court) is something I can get behind.

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jvspino t1_jb1kfgl wrote

According to the article you linked, those include what's below. They don't sound unreasonable and if the prosecutors can't get ahold of most of these things, it's an issue with police record keeping, which is honestly concerning. I don't know enough about the witness requirements to have a strong opinion on them, but I think in general the defense should have access to this info since it's relevant to the case. It also reads like a list of rules created in reaction to misconduct - there must have been some questionable expert witnesses for 6 to have been written.

>1. All police paperwork >2. All body-worn cameras, even for officers not involved directly in the arrest >3. All police-disciplinary records for every officer on scene >4. Witness names and contact information, meaning if prosecutors worry a witness is put at risk or can be intimidated, they must petition a judge to redact that information. >5. Criminal records of “potential witnesses” >6. Expert-witness résumés and writings >7. Disciplinary records of any possible police witnesses and any other material “related to the case.”

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NetQuarterLatte OP t1_jb1l5p8 wrote

I think the devils are in the details.

But the overall change in the conviction rates are undeniable.

My layman understanding is that the messier the case is, more pieces of potential exculpatory evidence is created, and it’s more chances for the prosecution to violate the discovery requirements and benefit the defense (even the evidence in question turns out to be innocuous).

https://www.city-journal.org/new-york-discovery-reform-is-crushing-prosecutors gives an example of an hypothetical bar brawl.

And then we also had this bad cop case that was dropped because of the discovery requirements: https://nypost.com/2023/01/31/manhattan-da-abruptly-drops-case-against-crooked-cop-joseph-franco/

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Amon213 t1_jb1masw wrote

Arm women to stop rapes.

Arm women to stop rapes.

Arm women to stop rapes.

−100

nycdataviz t1_jb1psid wrote

If you search "released on recognizance" and set the criteria to [within last month] you will get hits - to be clear this is not cherry picking this is a normal part of the weekly NYS courts blotter.

I'm not familiar with the case mentioned above. Here's a near-confirmed child molestor/rapist:

>In count one, Clark allegedly engaged in two or more acts of sexual conduct with a child less than eleven years old on or about and after Labor Day 2014 to mid-June, 2015 in the City of Batavia over a period of time less than three months in duration. In count two, Clark allegedly engaged in two or more acts of sexual conduct with a child less than eleven years old on or about and after Labor Day 2015 to mid-June, 2016 in the City of Batavia. Clark was released on recognizance.

https://videonewsservice.net/index.php/2023/01/30/genesee-county-unsealed-indictment-reveals-acts-of-sexual-conduct-against-a-child/

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jvspino t1_jb1qi2b wrote

I don't disagree with you entirely, but, as always, correlation is not causation. The pandemic resulted in high police mortality and lots of cities have been having trouble staffing departments, which probably contribute. I'm sure these reforms are having a negative impact on conviction rates, but we also can't assume that's necessarily a bad thing. Yes, there are high profile cases where someone clearly guilty gets off, but I'm sure there's less attention when someone innocent gets off too. As I mentioned above, several read like they were created to combat bad police work. I'm sure they create a higher bar for cases, but more work isn't an excuse to accept poor or dishonest policing and prosecution. I live in the city and am concerned about being a victim of crime, but being a victim of a corrupt justice system isn't something we should take lightly. Just my thoughts though.

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nycdataviz t1_jb1rr1d wrote

Hey, be civil. People are in rightful disbelief, but the court receipts speak for themselves. This information rarely reaches the main CBS/NYT/NBC headlines so people on average are not aware that it's happening, share objective info and leave it at that.

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bambambigelowww t1_jb1s1yn wrote

They have a surveillance image of the guy. Can they really not do better than saying he had a grey shirt on?

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cheetah611 t1_jb1s8mx wrote

This doesn't seem like a logical solution whatsoever. You're suggesting we give a tax funded firearm to every woman in NYC to prevent rape? The number of thefts, shootings, etc is going to skyrocket. Not only are you introducing about 2 million firearms into Manhattan alone, you're also giving them to untrained females who are going to be packing them on their person everyday.

Paid for courses + firearm is going to be in the vicinity of $550 per person, or $1,210,000,000 to arm the 2.2m+ females between 20-55 years old in Manhattan alone (not even taking BK or others into account). And I absolutely guarantee a massive number will end up in the hands of thieves who will now see every female as an opportunity to get their hands on a firearm registered in someone else's name.

Not even going to start on the statistics around household deaths and suicides when a firearm is introduced.

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TheSixpencer t1_jb1sdlp wrote

Nah, that was a "gotcha" request. It wasn't about curiosity/disbelief. This was "you're making it up" ... "See? It wasn't three counts, your argument is invalid." It's the laziest form of debate, not to mention logically flawed like nothing else.

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LikesBallsDeep t1_jb1vvsq wrote

Wait wtf is this for real? Barely 1 in 20 people arrested on a felony charge are convicted? What the fuck is this? Either the police are making a shit ton of unjustified arrests or our entire judiciary needs to be fired and start from scratch.

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Scroto-Saggins t1_jb1w0fh wrote

Right. Welcome to New York enjoy your 4k a month studio you're working 80 hour weeks to afford also the crime is really bad and we will do very little to deter or prevent it in fact we will release most of them the very same day no legal fire arms though sorry.

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Im_regretting_this t1_jb1wdpm wrote

I honestly wonder if at some point civilians are gonna have enough and go after these guys themselves if they’ve been identified. I’m not advocating vigilantism or mob violence, but at some point people break. Maybe that’ll never happen, but stranger things have.

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Scroto-Saggins t1_jb1wsx4 wrote

Idk I live in Georgia were we have full constitutional carry. I have 3 fire arms in my closet. I'm a guy though so I'm not too worried about someone following me into my apartment and raping me but my point is I've never killed anyone or even shot anyone.

−4

NihFin t1_jb1ytrx wrote

Let me indulge you - why bother describing the clothes he was wearing (also in the picture) when that’s something that can change? What is the author’s motivation with their description here? It doesn’t seem like their motivation is to be as helpful as they can be - seems like something else has hijacked their thought process.

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Rottimer t1_jb20mbj wrote

To reduce rapes in this city/state/country? A tremendous amount of money to fund social investment that would take years to see the results of. So nothing that politicians or most American voters are willing to do.

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Rottimer t1_jb215is wrote

You don't need CCP in Texas any longer to carry concealed. Regardless, that sounds like victim blaming, because even Texas, you need to choose to carry a weapon. It's almost like you're blaming those victims for being raped if they didn't have a CCP.

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NihFin t1_jb217b8 wrote

Wait - you want us to ask the violent rapist about his preferred ethnicity to use in a description?

I guess they don’t want to risk offending him by giving a physical description in case he identifies differently

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cranberryskittle t1_jb22bof wrote

What's the over-under on this being a homeless guy with dozens of prior arrests and/or convictions?

Oh goody, the UWS is getting yet another homeless shelter, right across the street from a school. No background checks on prior convictions, yay!

We love being a dumping ground for shelters while simultaneously being accused of not having any. Love it.

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Rottimer t1_jb22pjt wrote

  1. Clothes are often helpful. People tend to wear the same outerwear over and over during a particular season. I don't know if you have 20 different coats, and 30 different sweatshirts - maybe you do, NYC has a lot of rich people. It also has a lot of poor ones that don't have the option. I"m going to guess the rapist falls into the latter group.

  2. I'm black, and I could not tell you with even 75% certainty that the guy in the unfocused, grainy surveillance video is black, Latino, or something else. I could say he's not white. But what use is that? You'd be happy if the article said dark skinned? Do you realize that describes like 60% of the city? What's your thought process on this? It's sounds like something has hijacked your thinking.

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NetQuarterLatte OP t1_jb23ry3 wrote

While I understand the anti-police sentiment, convictions rate is not really a measure of the quality of police arrests.

A better measure of the quality of the arrests is whether prosecutors are charging the case (assuming the prosecution doesn’t change, obviously).

Arrests that are not justified will have their prosecution declined, and that statistic is also available in the linked sheet.

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73577357 t1_jb23vrj wrote

I don't totally understand why business people can get guns more easily because they handle money but individuals who are frequently targeted aren't able to get a gun to protect themselves. Money is valued more than your life. Businesses have insurance. NYC pretends all the laws are about safety of the greater good, but it's really about privileges for the wealthy and powerful. Criminals will get guns illegally or just use knives. If you have a door man or private security you're going to be safer, only poorer people have to worry.

1

cheetah611 t1_jb2602j wrote

You offered a terrible solution, didn't acknowledge my counter argument in any way, and expected me to solve all rape in a city which is arguable safer per person than most of america.

Rape has been happening for thousands of years. Doesn't make it ok, but the solution isn't something as easy as give people guns lol. Sure, rape goes down while violent armed crime and shootings absolutely skyrocket. Problem solved though, right?

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Brolic_Broccoli t1_jb26w64 wrote

As an attorney that practices in this field, it sounds reasonable at first right? The reality is that it's impossible to do this on every single case when you have 130+ cases and the turn around is 90 days on misdeamanors. If you're past 90 days the case is dismissed by law regardless of the merits. Meaning even if you have a cooperative victim, the defendant is caught on video, and he admits to doing it, the law states that the case must be dismissed.

Generally what's missing when a case is dismissed? Let's talk about a domestic violence assault case. It's not the paperwork work that you need like an arrest report surveillance notes, or even anything that's remotely helpful to the defense etc case. You have all of the responding and arresting officers information, reports and body camera already.

It's generally paperwork like 20th cop that arrived at the scene that didn't see anything and didn't arrest anyone yet you need his automatically generated memo book with the only entry being the time he began his shift.

If you don't have that, the case is dismissed, the order of protection is dismissed and the abuser is free to contact and abuse their victim again and the cycle of domestic violence continues.

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cheetah611 t1_jb27ip8 wrote

Honestly I've been trying to put it as nicely as possible, but your "solution" isn't just not perfect, it's idiotic and would increase all manners of crime, accidental deaths, suicides, and domestic violence in the city.

If you wanted a discussion than you could have acknowledged any point of my initial criticism and reflected back on your proposed solution rather than a smart ass "wElL wHaT wOuLD yOu Do". I'm not here trying to solve rape, but I saw a stupid suggested which you clearly thought was somewhat viable and shot it down (nicely at first). If you want an intelligent discussion, start with an intelligent comment.

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Brolic_Broccoli t1_jb280dm wrote

Hey LikesBallsDeep,

I practice in the field. The main cause of dismissals is CPL Article 245, the sheer volume of irrelevant paperwork is impossible to receive before the statutory deadline on each and every case. "Discovery" occurs after the defendant is arrested, charged and formally arraigned before a Judge. 245 stipulates that everything that is "discoverable" must be provided within 90 days for misdeamanors and 6 months for felonies, with zero extensions allowed by law. Meaning most cases are usually dismissed without getting to the merits aka without ever going to trial.

Because discovery stops the prosecutors from getting to the trial phase, victims never get to testify, and perpetrators have all charges against that dismissed and sealed, meaning that it's like they never did the crime to begin with.

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cheetah611 t1_jb294nn wrote

Lmao I just told you I didn't offer a solution because that wasn't my intent when responding to you. But fine.

Stop arresting people for non-violent drug crimes, pardon those currently incarcerated for such crimes (roughly 44% of those in a US prison are for drug crimes). That should significantly reduce NY's current prison overpopulation problem - the primary reason we have the whole arrest and release thing occurring for even violent crimes and known criminals.

Now that there are open jail cells, actually arrest and hold violent criminals. Increase the bail requirements for those crimes, remove bail for repeat offenders. Now NY criminals have something to fear when it comes to booking in NYC, violent crimes (including rape) are significantly reduced, and the overall impact is a few more potheads and people doing blow on the streets. I'd say worth it.

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OskiBrah t1_jb29hjg wrote

People need to use some common sense in big cities with high rates of crime. Don’t stay out late at night

−131

cheetah611 t1_jb29uvc wrote

Yeah the stats aren't easy to capture specific areas. Problem with that is Georgia's population density is so much lower that a "nice area" is out of the way. NYC, and any other densely populated city be it NYC or London, the "nice areas" aren't only prohibitively expensive, they're still not that far away from the not so nice areas.

My initial point being, arming half the population as the original commenter suggested, is really really stupid and incredibly dangerous.

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columbo928s4 t1_jb2a9cq wrote

maybe, but it's basically pointless to include the ethnicity anyways given how big the city is. "the rapist was white" ok great, that narrows it down to like 5 million people "the racist was black" oh ok, even better, only 2 million people etc

−44

Amon213 t1_jb2a9qq wrote

Now you're moving the goalposts. We're not discussing reducing incarcerations or prison population. We're discussing rapes and prevention. Can you stay focused? Now while I agree with what you said it won't reduce crimes.

−2

theuncleiroh t1_jb2b9pf wrote

Yes but the people you're responding to ARE looking for squares, no matter if the missing or responsible shape is a triangle.

That's the obvious nature of what is being done here-- trying to fix the perceptual gap here that's in no small bit responsible for crime statistics being skewed so heavily toward squares--, and why they're so mad. They don't want to believe there's anything to it other than squares commit the most crimes, and they refuse to address any reasons there might be for it. They just want to see a square match the description and get what's coming to them. No more thought to make things human, just shapes and statistics.

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Brolic_Broccoli t1_jb2bhtd wrote

Hey Frenchie,

Defendants are entitled to a fair trial and to any and all evidence that exculpatory. But the reforms lump in every single irrelevant piece of paper that must be provided within the statutory period. I agree with you. It's extremely frustrating having to console a victims and tell them that there is nothing that I can do because it's the law. And I am worried about their safety because their abusers and assailants are still out there.

A justice system where you don't reach the merits of a case isn't functional. It will lead to vigilante violence.

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SleepyHobo t1_jb2bi0j wrote

The items required don't sound unreasonable, but the focal point of the article was the time frame that they're required to turn over all of that evidence in. Seems like there's more of a limited resource of staffing and man hours, not a lack of access to the evidence. And it seems like these requirements were instituted either out of ignorance to the reality of its feasibility or malice to cripple the system.

I'd bet a lot of money the same people that bought this bill to fruition are not even remotely interested in increasing staffing to meet its obligations.

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cheetah611 t1_jb2bu8b wrote

Yeah ok I'm done here lol. Idk if you have an inability to actually absorb information, but re-read what I said.

The reason rape and violent crimes keep happening is because NYC has a habit of releasing and re-releasing repeat offenders and violent criminals. The reason that happens is because we have a prison overpopulation problem in the state. Most rapes aren't done by someone with a spotless criminal record.

Keeping violent criminals in prison, and having them actually fear the NYC justice system WILL reduce rape. Christ I feel like I'm debating a wall lol. Have fun, I'm done here

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theuncleiroh t1_jb2cvrn wrote

Glad to have your input, as someone working in the field. I'll offer some other relevant input, as someone who's been fucked over by the laws amended therein.

As a college student arrested for a protest charge, I didn't hear a thing for months. I finally show up for my first hearing, and my charges are elevated from misdemeanor to felony. No evidence presented, judge accepts. Now wait a few more months. I'm now at another university hours away. I start having to take monthly trips to go to hearing after hearing. Discovery went on for nearly 1.5 years, meaning I kept having to show up, sick or in health, impacted by school or not, etc, and make my dates. Trial pushed back the entire time, until it's finally time for it, and they drop all charges during pre-trial.

I'm sure having limited time for discovery limits prosecutors. I also know that prosecutors have something near a 10-1 material advantages over public defenders (there's a logic to this: PD defend only poor, prosecutors go after public and privately represented clients; this doesn't eliminate the impact on poor clients with even more overworked and under-resourced representation), not to mention structural advantages and inherently (& ideologically) better relations with police and judges. Sometimes a disadvantage on one side, as important and often benevolent that side may be, serves to right the balance-- so that innocent people don't have their lives ruined by endless court dates and unequal quality of representation.

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ChrisFromLongIsland t1_jb2dg7n wrote

So procecutors don't have a system to get the defentants attorney the docs within 6 months. My industry Iwork in has an absurd amount of government regulation that keeps changing and date after date to comply with and the industry changes with the changes. Speculilized Software is used and other techniques. Why can't supper smart attorneys figure it out?

0

theuncleiroh t1_jb2dj6a wrote

City Journal is a conservative ideological think-tank. Not exactly offering good evidence for your case here. All 7 of those are completely rational and fair. It's necessary to give the defense some defense (lol), since the system is already materially and structurally in favor of prosecution; the point is to reach a place of balance and equality, not to preserve the status quo and call it fair.

0

elizabeth-cooper t1_jb2el11 wrote

In the video it looks like it happened in the projects.

It's pretty amazing that there are projects across the street from Lincoln Center.

ETA: Apparently that area was slums and Robert Moses cleared them in order to build Lincoln Center, but even he couldn't demolish a NYCHA housing project.

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Brolic_Broccoli t1_jb2fhfd wrote

It's not just a "system", there is already an electronic discovery system in place that gets the documents and various other discovery, surveillance, lab reports, video metadata, intoxilyzer/PBT calibrations etc etc. 99/100 a prosecutor receives all of the paperwork that they need to actually be able to prosecute the case, that's not an issue.

There are numerous factors and variables at play that lead to absurdly high dismissal rates. First, prosecutors don't only acquire need to acquire all of the discovery material..There aren't enough prosecutors to review hundreds of hours of police body cam footage, police and paperwork and redact witness home addresses so they are protected. Just look at the Bronx DA walkout. You would need to hire about 5X the amount of prosecutors in each borough to be able to get through all of the paperwork and that's not feasible. The new executive budget bill barely allocates any more funds for discovery. This work can't be pawned off on paralegals either, because each prosecutor must do this themselves on each and every case. Second, what is "all paperwork/discovery relating to an arrest"? This opens the door to an infinite number of arguments. Do weather reports count? How about the names and contact information of 20+ unidentified passerbys who are impossible to get because of how populous NYC is? And these people aren't being called in to testify either. Regardless, because a random person may or may not have seen something, then it's a question of is it discoverable? If a Judge rules that it is, the case is automatically tossed, and this is after 20+ hours were already put into the case and thousands of files and all video files known to exist have been turned over. These are just some of the issues and it's a non-exhaustive list, the reforms create an endless rabbit hole which leads to an inordinate rate of dismissals.

7

jvspino t1_jb2g3br wrote

I appreciate your perspective on the matter. It seems like there's opportunities to specify how and when these should be taken into account because I agree situations like the domestic violence one you discussed shouldn't be dropped. However, I'd hesitate to throw out the baby with the bathwater here - accountability and transparency are important in the justice system. Maybe I'm naively optimistic, but I'd really hope we can improve the system so that it's reasonably efficient but still gives people a fair shot at defending themselves. I don't think the solution should be fully rolling back these changes, as some other people seem to be suggesting.

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Brolic_Broccoli t1_jb2gbaq wrote

Hey,

I completely understand where you are coming from and thank you for listening.

Your experience is exactly why reform was desperately needed in 2019, with the tragedy of Kalief Browder's case demonstrating that the "blind fold" law that NY previously had in terms of discovery needed to be completely overhauled.

I agree with each and every principal of the legislative intent behind enacting the changes. My critique from working in the field is that their built in enforcement mechanisms, aka having discovery tied into the speedy trial statutes, essentially doesn't work for the reasons I mentioned, putting victims in further harms way.

I might make a whole separate post for bail and discovery for non-practioners if there's interest.

4

Brolic_Broccoli t1_jb2h0ee wrote

Hey,

Thanks for taking the time to read my wall of text comment.

I agree with each part of the legislative intent - and the baby should not be thrown out with the bath water here. The Reforms were badly needed in 2019. Defendants are absolutely entitled to each and every relevant piece of information that is helpful to their case. It's the enforcement mechanisms tied into the matter - such as having the entire case dismissed - because the statutory speedy trial deadline passes amongst other issues.

15

jvspino t1_jb2hccz wrote

I mean, law enforcement gets more funding than other critical areas, like education and infrastructure. I'm not sure this is intentional crippling like you're suggesting it is, though I'd hope lawmakers and judges clarify the law so that it's not a a get out of jail card. However, as I replied to someone else, I don't think the answer is necessarily to go back to the old system, which had it's own slew of issues. We should strive to do better, even when the answers aren't clear cut.

4

jvspino t1_jb2hus4 wrote

And I appreciate your thoughtful replies. As a non-lawyer, I assume there's a lot of bureaucracy (and some corruption) that slows things down in system and leads to less-than-ideal solutions. Though I hope that we can still make progress in the right direction, even if slowly.

4

WhatAGeee t1_jb2hvdk wrote

there are big cities in the world where this is practically non-existent, instead of blaming people for being out at night, you should be calling for more safety/better policing.

Besides, what if they work night shift, what if they just got discharged out of a hospital, what if they had some other emergency they had to go for? there's lots of reasons someone could be out late besides just going out for fun.

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Brolic_Broccoli t1_jb2jrhc wrote

For the most part, we're all regular new yorkers who live in the neighborhood and want community safety, willing to put in at least 12 hours a day despite receiving no overtime to process all the documents and videos we have.

My hope is that enough individuals let their legislative representatives know that we need change and tweaks in the right direction, because this affects us and our friends and family.

10

columbo928s4 t1_jb2klhd wrote

i mean, yeah, you're right, including a description of his clothing is totally useless unless it goes out basically when the crime is occurring. a much more useful strat would be to splash the surveillance video with his face all over the place

−14

The_Lone_Apple t1_jb2n8xg wrote

Human ears are not attached very well and can tear off without much effort. Just saying.

30

gi0nna t1_jb2t4ro wrote

Something tells me he has priors and was released on bail. The usual.

Beyond disgusting. My heart goes out to that poor woman. When they catch that animal, I hope they actually throw him in prison for a long time. But it's NYC, so he'll probably be released on bail. The usual.

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nycdataviz t1_jb2ve5n wrote

You think that reports of rapes and sexual attacks aren’t worth investigating? Yes, you’re uniformed. The other link I provided was the case of a man who serially raped children under the age of 11 for over 3 years.

9