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Johnnadawearsglasses t1_j68cxcb wrote

I definitely feel like the crazy has dialed down a lot on the lines that I take. I'm thankful this was made a priority.

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devolka t1_j68dpwk wrote

Here is a Pro tip. When people want to fudge the numbers you often see over semantic statements like this.

In this case, they are telling you crime is DOWN 16% over the numbers over October...

Why October? Why not year over year which is USUALLY how we measure crime.

And for good reason. Less people are out and about in January over October. So less people usually equals less crime...

But WHY OCTOBER?

This is why.

https://nypost.com/2022/10/11/nyc-subway-murders-jump-to-highest-levels-in-25-years-data/amp/

https://nypost.com/2022/10/11/nyc-subway-murders-jump-to-highest-levels-in-25-years-data/amp/

From the article

>... if you compare the numbers to last year, crime in the transit system is up by more than 40%. The thing driving the numbers is larceny, which usually means someone's phone or wallet was stolen from their bag or off a seat, sometimes it's when people doze off.

So transit crime is UP 40% for the year.

>Robberies are also up by about 34%, Felony Assault is up by about 17%. If you compare those to last year when there were still a million fewer riders.

So the month they chose to compare to is the month with the with the MOST murders in 25 years...

Funny how the "reporter" didn't bother to check.

This is Department of Propaganda type shit.

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mahabraja t1_j68o9hd wrote

It's incredible how long it took the nypd to figure out exactly where subway crime is happening. I'm sure they busted a ton while they were in their cars on Facebook. But, it really is better they be on Facebook in the stations. The deterrent seems to be real. If only they could bust the criminals with fakebook DMs and alt right ramblings.

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devolka t1_j68rsxt wrote

Right... so he was lying in January but telling the truth now?

If subway crime has been up 40% this year why wait until October to bother adding cops if adding cops is your plan?

Why say you are adding cops in January and then not do it for 10 months?

Either he is grossly incompetent or he's a liar who doesn't believe what he says.

To paraphrase Robert Deniro in Casino. Either he's on thr take or stupid. Either way, he can't work here.

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devolka t1_j68v3pd wrote

Year to date data for 3 weeks is extremely variant. The rolling 30 day is only 15% down and some of that is that ridership always dips in winter.

You'll notice the 2 year trend is up 36%

But my point in using an old article is that crime was historically high 3 months ago SPECIFICALLY.

Most murders in a month in the subway in at least 25 years.

https://nypost.com/2022/10/11/nyc-subway-murders-jump-to-highest-levels-in-25-years-data/amp/

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devolka t1_j68x8bc wrote

Fair enough.

My issue here is the continual propagation of this false idea that adding cops or giving them more money or letting them torment who they don't like... none of that has been demonstrated to reduce crime.

And yet the media and politicians continue to disingenuously push it. They tried to reduce crime for a YEAR and failed. And now they found a way to cherry-pick the data to make it slightly positive.

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09-24-11 t1_j696eym wrote

It’s both. The mayor implemented increased supervision around this time AND the data chose a convenient start point to fit a narrative.

The real test will be comparing Oct 2021-2022 vs. Oct 2022-2023 a year from now

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earlymountainrain t1_j69e3ar wrote

ITT: Hoping for crime to remain high to own both the right and the left

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Croweslen t1_j69fq1g wrote

Correct. I cant remember if it was the end if October or the middle of November. But all precients have to send officers from each tour to cover the subway stations in their commands. People are easily hitting at least 40 hours of FORCED overtime a month. Who knows how long itll last but it is working. But forcing officers to work an 8 hour day on patrol, then do a footpost for hour, 5 days a week is not manageable or doable by most people. Especially with families

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koreamax t1_j69uzl6 wrote

This is a really good point, and you've definitely done your research. I think numbers like this, though, might give commuters some relief. People who take the subway daily, regardless of the month

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koreamax t1_j69xbo0 wrote

Dude, not everyone who disagrees with you is a bootlicker. Learn how to respond to people. Immediately assuming what I want makes for a bad argument. More cops seemed to reduce crime on subways

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thisfilmkid t1_j6a0n4n wrote

I take the subway three days a week.

These cops, a lot of them, are young (under 40), chill, and very attentive. I'm happy to see them in the subway. I try to make them feel welcomed by saying hello. And if I'm on the platform, I spark up a quick chat about life and a "take care, see you soon" when my train comes.

When you start talking to them, you finally realize they're people like me and you. They know the area and the community and might even know someone you know.

Despite all the issues surrounding police, not all of them are alike. I dislike some of them. And I love seeing some of them.

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devolka t1_j6a6b27 wrote

I didn't didn't bring up bootleggers. You did. I was laughing at how you can't come up with a sutuin that doesn't involve more cops.

Lol. It's weird. You can only come up with one solution and ita the one we know doesn't work. Lol

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devolka t1_j6a7pqh wrote

They are also both getting their clock cleaned. Hocul won a much closer race than anyone was planning and just had her own party tank her Judicial nomination. Adams has one of rhe worst approval ratings in New York HISTORY. They are DESPERATE

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smg2720 t1_j6antm9 wrote

We live in an era with an incredibly high level of cops killing innocent civilians, or have you not been watching the news for the last couple of years? If I generalize so be it.

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ECK-2188 t1_j6at22q wrote

So more police presence does in fact lower crime rates? 🤔

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smg2720 t1_j6av6hx wrote

Point taken but I’m not fear mongering I’m responded to nationwide incidents that have rocked our nation, a long history of police brutality in NYC and elsewhere, and my lives experience.

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djn24 t1_j6e1026 wrote

One of the big issues that a lot of activist groups have called out in regards to policing is the disconnect between police and the communities they patrol. If they don't live in and participate in the community, then it creates a disconnect between them and the people they're supposed to be serving.

It's good to hear that you've had friendly interactions with them.

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manateefourmation t1_j6gpqa4 wrote

No. We live in an era of cameras everywhere so police misconduct is sensationalized.

This is one of these silly statements that dominate rational discussion. For example, people, when surveyed, think the world is poorer now than 50 years ago, when actually poverty has been cut in half.

Just because the internet lets you see everything now, and everyone records everything, doesn’t mean that we live in an era of more police misconduct.

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mahabraja t1_j6ladiy wrote

That's the entire point. Subway crime occurs on the subway and in subway stations. Where up until last October there has been a distinct lack of presence. There been posted up in their patrol cars on Facebook. Now they just facebook in the stations. It's definitely a step in the right direction.

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manateefourmation t1_j6m0emt wrote

Although I very much appreciate the police presence, crime on the subway was overstated by people and sensationalized. In a world where everyone has video cameras and lots of easy - free- places to post the videos, crime seems out of control when the subway is actually quite safe. This is statistically true even with the spike since the pandemic.

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