tbs222 t1_j4a2zaw wrote on January 14, 2023 at 5:33 AM

Missed this post earlier, but I'd like to share some data. For context here:

NYC Covid Dashboard - positivity, hospitalizations, deaths all decreasing. Source: https://www.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page
NYS Covid Dashboard (NYC) - seven day average positivity has been declining for over two weeks and is the lowest it's been in over a month. Source: https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/positive-tests-over-time-region-and-county
NYS Covid Hospitalizations (NYC data) - Covid hospitalizations are the lowest they've been since roughly Thanksgiving. Source: https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/daily-hospitalization-summary

All of these measures are trending downward, so this 'plea' seems a little bit misplaced.

rgrip33 t1_j4c08fk wrote on January 14, 2023 at 5:13 PM

Case rates are inaccurate since everyone is using home tests. And there can still be adverse affects that don’t involve hospitalization or death. Being sick (and losing income from days off at work) sucks.

tbs222 t1_j4c1e2e wrote on January 14, 2023 at 5:21 PM

The data set does not include home tests, yes, but I don't understand your point. The recent historical data from the past two months also does not include home tests. This is a representative sample of data.

Also, hospitalizations and fatalities and are still a reliable indicator of trends regardless of how people are testing.

rgrip33 t1_j4c6qbs wrote on January 14, 2023 at 5:55 PM

The point is that it’s appropriate for the city to advise caution, even if rates for hospitalizations and deaths aren’t necessarily surging.