10000Didgeridoos t1_ist2rlh wrote on October 18, 2022 at 2:34 PM

Reply to comment by nartarf in 11 shot in Richmond within one week by Charlesinrichmond

Do you people even bother Googling this stuff before making up stats and up voting blindly?

Stray bullets when these idiots miss several times are, in fact, quite dangerous. Did you forget about the multiple kids killed by stray bullets in broad daylight over the last couple years? They weren't the target. They got hit anyway.

Murders both locally and statewide are up significantly from 10 years ago. Lower than the 90s, yes, but no you're wrong about violent crime "decreasing". It isn't, sorry. It bottomed out in the late 2000s to early 2010s and has since recently begun increasing again.

State Police 2022 report:

"By the numbers: The state recorded 1,194 violent crimes per 100,000 residents last year — a 2.5% increase over 2020.

The 2021 rate is still 16% lower than a decade ago. The rate of property crimes dropped 2% between 2020 and 2021 and is down 33% over the last decade.

Yes, but: The murder rate has almost doubled over the last 10 years.

The state recorded 6.59 murders per capita in 2021 compared to 3.69 in 2011.

The state counted 570 murders and non-negligent manslaughters last year, up from 550 in 2020. In 2011, the total number of murders sat at 299."

We experienced nearly 3 additional murders per capita in 2021 than in 2011 across Virginia.

freakame t1_istwqyu wrote on October 18, 2022 at 5:52 PM

> The 2021 rate (of violent crimes) is still 16% lower than a decade ago.

so it has decreased overall. yes, murders are up, that's not good, but having a meltdown over "increases in crime" over small sample windows isn't a logical way to view this. there are also a lot of issues with using a HIGHLY unusual set of years for comparisons. forceable rape went up in 2020 from 2019, then down in 2021 from 2020. is that significant? probably as significant as the murder numbers...

please do also note that cops have shown that they lie about numbers when it suits them. you have to immediately question the police as the source for this because there are no checks on their data, they refuse to release sources or information about how they get to these numbers, you just have to trust them. (believe me, I've FOIAd this kind of info before, they're assholes about it).

this is the data: https://va.beyond2020.com/va_public/View/dispview.aspx?ReportId=2

that tells you fuck all about anything. it's a number in a table, no records, no arrest reports, no conviction rates, nothing to give it meaning.

nartarf t1_isxb6hd wrote on October 19, 2022 at 11:48 AM

Yes take the data produced by the police with a grain of salt. Most sexual assaults are not reported. Most reported sexual assaults are not investigated or “solved” by police. It’s something like 20% clearance rate. I think Richmond’s doing pretty good if the crime rate is steady/decreasing AND the police are down 160 positions.