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zenzukai t1_j7hnbld wrote

I wonder how you can assign a probability to an unprecedented situation. It's not like conditional probability can predict events that have no meaningful input data.

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minotaur05 t1_j7hzl3t wrote

You can make predictions. Use existing laws and current rate of increase combined with trends of other issues changing across societies in the past. No it's not perfect, but it can give us a ballpark.

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