MUCHO2000 t1_j0j9era wrote
Reply to comment by dbx999 in The new omicron boosters are very effective at preventing seniors from being hospitalized with Covid. The latest omicron boosters are 84% effective at keeping seniors 65 and older from being hospitalized with Covid-19 compared with the unvaccinated by Wagamaga
Which mutation came from those unwilling to get vaccinated? We suspect Delta came from India and Omicron from Africa. The current strains of COVID escape immunity to a high degree. Your statement is bizarre about the unvaccinated having anything to do with the state we are in.
Second, while it's true that the goal of a virus is to survive, replicate, and spread it therefore tends to evolve toward being more infectious and less deadly context still matters. COVID is rarely deadly so while fast spreading mutations will be favored less deadly is far less relevant. It's not likely (your word) that each strain will be less deadly. The only likely thing is that the next mutation will be better able to replicate and spread. So yeah, bizarre.
dbx999 t1_j0javyi wrote
You need to reread my comment. I said it is LIKELY that each new successful strain that develops in the future will carry a lower mortality rate. Those are the exact words. And your comment states that I am saying the exact opposite.
MUCHO2000 t1_j0jft5o wrote
No I read you loud and clear. The problem is you're wrong.
It's not LIKELY because the death rate of COVID is so low. If COVID had a higher mortality rate it would be LIKELY to see less deadly variations over time.
I'm not interested in debating the meaning of likely.
mightcommentsometime t1_j0kgxgv wrote
> Your statement is bizarre about the unvaccinated having anything to do with the state we are in.
Higher transmission and infection rates create a higher probability of mutation. The only bizarre thing is ignoring that well documented and well observed outcome.
> therefore tends to evolve toward being more infectious and less deadly context still matters
You seem to be trying to give some intelligent and predetermined goal to a virus. Mutations are random. Whether one mutation dominates another may depend on this, but the actual evolutionary path of the virus does not.
Where did you hear that it would?
> The only likely thing is that the next mutation will be better able to replicate and spread.
According to what?
> So yeah, bizarre
Your assertions are extremely bizarre indeed. I'd like to know where you get them from and what evidence you have to back them up.
Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments