SlackerNinja717 t1_j6rz2wz wrote on February 1, 2023 at 2:05 PM

I do not think we will see the unemployment numbers from AI and Automation to begin creeping up for another few decades, but they inevitably will, and then there will probably be a decade of horrific unemployment, and then governments will have to start buying out certain highly automated sectors or product manufacturing or service in order to afford a UBI, basically a gradual shift to a hybrid communist/free market economy - that's the only way I see a UBI being feasible. Probably large government owned housing developments, at some point.

fastinguy11 t1_j6si34m wrote on February 1, 2023 at 4:12 PM

I think you are being conservative when you say it will take decades for automation to significantly displace workers.

imlaggingsobad t1_j6u50y8 wrote on February 1, 2023 at 10:15 PM

a few decades, so 30 years? No, not a chance. We'll have a powerful general AI that can do the majority of knowledge tasks in just 5-7 years.

SlackerNinja717 t1_j6umip3 wrote on February 2, 2023 at 12:15 AM

I think folks underestimate modern society's demand for devices and distractions. You may be right, but there is usually far more nuance to most jobs than any AI on the horizon is able to tackle. I think production per capita will keep going up for a long time before the overall unemployment rate starts going down.