DowntownYou5783 t1_jaebugj wrote on February 28, 2023 at 8:42 PM

What a great and insightful post. I think you are largely on point. Our smart devices are about to get a whole lot smarter. It's not unreasonable to think we could all have something approaching a JARVIS-level intelligence (see Ironman) in our home by 2030.

ChatGPT is just the beginning. It tends to hallucinate quite a bit with difficult questions, but it can maintain a conversation better than many humans. And it's willing to be educated and admit mistakes. Later iterations from OpenAI and similar iterations from other sources (i.e. within the next 18 months) are likely to take substantial steps forward.

It's crazy that the larger public is largely unaware of what appears to be happening (although John Oliver's segment on Last Week Tonight will no doubt raise awareness).

AdditionalPizza OP t1_jaedsf6 wrote on February 28, 2023 at 8:54 PM

I do think that segment missed a lot of crucial points, and focused on very near term issues that will no doubt be overcome relatively easily.

But The hallucination aspect has to be solved and it needs to happen very soon. I think once that is tackled the train won't stop. I think it will be reduced over the coming months to the degree that it becomes a non-issue in most cases fairly soon. Google has a lot riding on that.

We also shouldn't underestimate how much more useful a model with access to the internet will be over the current chatGPT. Recent events will prove very useful.