Submitted by Impressive-Injury-91 t3_1118hkt in singularity
Borrowedshorts t1_j8dx7i2 wrote
Reply to comment by duffmanhb in Anthropic's Jack Clark on AI progress by Impressive-Injury-91
Computation and AI haven't demonstrated S curves, but have always been exponential. If we look at some of the effects, they may be S curves. If we look at Siri, there was a massive and rapid adoption of that, but has since tapered off. I suspect job displacement will show an S curve. But computation itself has demonstrated exponential progress for a very long time, and I doubt that slows anytime soon.
TopicRepulsive7936 t1_j8e4rvs wrote
If complexity is an S-curve it'll start tapering off around 14 billion years from now.
Viewing a single comment thread. View all comments