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Borrowedshorts t1_j8dx7i2 wrote

Computation and AI haven't demonstrated S curves, but have always been exponential. If we look at some of the effects, they may be S curves. If we look at Siri, there was a massive and rapid adoption of that, but has since tapered off. I suspect job displacement will show an S curve. But computation itself has demonstrated exponential progress for a very long time, and I doubt that slows anytime soon.

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TopicRepulsive7936 t1_j8e4rvs wrote

If complexity is an S-curve it'll start tapering off around 14 billion years from now.

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