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Give-me-gainz t1_j7xgjt4 wrote

Reply to comment by TFenrir in The copium goes both ways by IndependenceRound453

Depends on how you define soon. Median answer in this survey of AI experts is 2061 for AGI https://ourworldindata.org/ai-timelines

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GoodySherlok t1_j7z4gxy wrote

I believe this forecast holds validity under the assumption that circumstances remain unchanged, however, that is a dubious assumption. (used chatgpt to properly express my thought)

It is hard to imagine that China and India will not change the trajectory in favor of the optimists.

AGI before 2050.

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