Ortus14 t1_j7z34ei wrote on February 10, 2023 at 12:58 PM

Reply to comment by FC4945 in The copium goes both ways by IndependenceRound453

I'm getting sick of all these doomers like the op coming to this sub, and repeating the same debunked talking points, that know literally nothing about the AGI algorithms, trends, or "expert" consensus but think they're geniuses that can talk on any subject, despite their massive ignorance.

FC4945 t1_j80w8px wrote on February 10, 2023 at 8:24 PM

The reality is experts are moving closer and closer to Ray's assessment as to when we will reach AGI. 2045 is still a bit away but, given the rate of progress we've seen only recently in AI, it's reasonable to say we are in striking distance to seeing his predictions become reality in the next three decades. There are still hurdles but there have been hurdles in the past that we've overcome. AI and the AGI by 2029 will help us overcome those hurdles too. I would not be surprised in we reach AGI sooner than 2029 and, indeed, we reach the singularity before 2045. I actually remember seeing an MIT professor say he thought it would occur by 2039.

Ashamed-Asparagus-93 t1_j8cnii2 wrote on February 13, 2023 at 8:57 AM

Rather than dismiss doomers maybe we should try to understand them more. Like why even come here to type a negative spin on something you don't know a lot about?

Is it because they only watch CNN and read Washington Post? Or maybe they're depressed in life. Or it could be they're religious and it clashes with their beliefs and annoys them. I knew a guy who was like that

FC4945 t1_j8kxat2 wrote on February 15, 2023 at 1:37 AM

I think it's a combination of watching too many dystopian movies with a mindset that is naturally negative about the future. I really want to see more films like Her. Films that show how AGI and ASI can benefit humanity. There will, of course, be religious holdouts that will never get on board but that's always been the case in society.