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agonypants t1_jeetd1h wrote

Reply to comment by Surur in The only race that matters by Sure_Cicada_4459

After GPT4 and MJ5, there is never going to be another AI winter. Unless Yudkowsky gets his wet-dream nuclear war, AI progress will continue at a rapid clip.

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just_thisGuy t1_jefwnt9 wrote

I’d argue that nuclear war only accelerates this, any safety is out the window. Less people, need to rebuild, need to wrestle with effects of nuclear war, etc. That is unless nobody is left. But yes, I agree there is no stopping this and it’s only going to get faster, and I think that’s good, it does not mean we are not going to see negative effects, I just think negative effects from humans are probabilistically worse.

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MolybdenumIsMoney t1_jegd87f wrote

As long as powerful AIs require huge data centers with hundreds of millions of dollars worth of GPUs, this is impossible. Nuclear war would destroy the global chip supply chain, so only salvaged processors could be used.

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just_thisGuy t1_jegiuer wrote

You only need one fab, and you could redirect all supply to ASI, you have plenty of data already saved. But yeah not going to be easy and depends how bad it really is.

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