seas2699 t1_jednspr wrote on March 31, 2023 at 7:01 AM

Reply to comment by Professional_Copy587 in Goddamn it's really happening by BreadManToast

no offense but sam altman is a better salesman than anything. you’re gonna take the word of the guy who said they need to increase regulations on companies other than his? my ass

Professional_Copy587 t1_jedo32c wrote on March 31, 2023 at 7:05 AM

Ok, disregard his view. Go look at the majority of the views of the rest of the experts. They arent proclaiming this the start of the birth of AGI, ASI and the singularity like this sub is now doing on a daily basis. They are pretty clear that generative AI is a very transformative technology but it is NOT AGI. Nor do we have have any reason to think its close. Most estimates (guesses) are still 2030 or beyond

1II1I11II1I1I111I1 t1_jee9x9f wrote on March 31, 2023 at 11:52 AM

Watch this interview with Ilya Sutskever if you get the chance. The chief engineer (the brains) of OpenAI. If you read between the lines, or even take what he says at face value, it seems to him like there are very few hurdles between the paradigm of scaling LLMs and achieving AGI. We're very clearly on track, and very clearly the pace is only increasing. Unless regulation slows down AGI, it's most likely here before 2030.

Professional_Copy587 t1_jeebr3y wrote on March 31, 2023 at 12:10 PM

NOT clearly on track. Poll the experts on how to achieve AGI, poll them whether we are track. The majority of the answers you'll get are "We don't know". Yes youll find one expert that says something different but overall we don't know.

This may very well be one part of what is required to achieve AGI, the remaining components may take another 50 years to figure out. Early progress in fusion research led people to believe we'd have fusion power stations by the time I was an adult. Early progress in computer science thought the same about AI.

We do not know how close we are or understand how to get closer. All we know is generative AI is an interesting tech that will revolutionize many industry's

HeavyMetalLyrics t1_jeery4a wrote on March 31, 2023 at 2:16 PM

At first I found him inspiring. But as the interview concluded, he left me with a sinister vibe.

Automatic_Paint9319 t1_jeetzmq wrote on March 31, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Sinister? Care to elaborate?

HeavyMetalLyrics t1_jefwkjy wrote on March 31, 2023 at 6:43 PM

I reframed from seeing him as a benevolent technologist to a capitalist CEO who knows he’s unleashing something extremely dangerous in service of gaining massive amounts of wealth and fame/notoriety.

Jalen_1227 t1_jegjgul wrote on March 31, 2023 at 9:16 PM

I honestly feel like they’re all thinking like that including Sam. I hope Sam doesn’t turn out to be the next hitler

HeavyMetalLyrics t1_jegl0kn wrote on March 31, 2023 at 9:27 PM

I don’t think it’ll be anything like that; more like he’ll unleash something that he can’t contain. He’ll make a Killing and go down in (the remaining few months or years of) history before the AI somehow eradicates human life.