amplex1337 t1_jedvacf wrote on March 31, 2023 at 8:49 AM

Reply to comment by Professional_Copy587 in Goddamn it's really happening by BreadManToast

I still find more useful code examples from Google search more quickly than chatGPT. Even 4.0 spits out code that doesn't work way too often and I am debugging and finding bad API urls, finding PowerShell cmdlets that don't exist, finding the information is outdated or just doesn't work, etc.. It's often faster just to RTFM. Hate to be in the 'get off my lawn' camp because it's still exciting technology, and I've considered myself a futurist for >20 years, but I completely agree. We could have an AGI by 2025 but I'm not sure if we are as close as people think, and the truth is no one knows how close we really are to it, or if we are even on the right path at all yet. It's nice to give people hope, but don't get addicted to hopium.

1II1I11II1I1I111I1 t1_jeea3wq wrote on March 31, 2023 at 11:54 AM

>the truth is no one knows how close we really are to it, or if we are even on the right path at all yet.

Watch this interview with Ilya Sutskever. He seems pretty confident about the future, and the obstacles between here and AGI. The inside knowledge at OpenAI definitely knows how close we are to AGI, and scaling LLMs is no longer outside the realm of feasibility to achieve it.