Mokebe890 t1_irdt1uj wrote
Reply to comment by arevealingrainbow in We are in the midst of the biggest technological revolution in history and people have no idea by DriftingKing
Well I mean rather 10 - 20 years ahead not as far in future tho.
May you provide some insight? Im in camp by 2030 or 2030 - 2040 but would like to see some papers about as far as 2060. Looking at current model or following Altman you could think that is a lot sooner.
Good point but for example in Europe combine war in Ukraine and almost every country here will have energy crisis this winter, going as much as closing the schools and facilitie.
arevealingrainbow t1_irdthee wrote
The energy crisis that Europe is facing is a temporary speedbump, like the oil crisis of the 70’s for the US. This will accelerate the transition to green energy. With this accelerating transition and Fusion research, I estimate that pretty much all of Humanity’s energy woes will be entirely eliminated by 2100.
I made my guess of 2060 as a general average of when experts thing that we will create a super intelligence. The “singularity never” crowd is a minority that really lateshifts that estimate.
In 10-20 years, yeah progress will continue to accelerate.
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