Lone-Pine t1_ire5szm wrote
Reply to comment by arevealingrainbow in We are in the midst of the biggest technological revolution in history and people have no idea by DriftingKing
> AGI will likely happen in the 2060’s because that is the scholarly consensus among machine learning experts.
They only run these polls every few years. I'm certain if a poll of ML engineers/scientists were run today, the average would be in the 2040s. Most of the more vocal people in the industry (Sam Altman, Demis Hassibis) regularly predict on Twitter very short timelines.
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