I've been saying the entertainment industry will become obsolete due to synthetic media in 2026 for months, and while that might seem too soon linearly, it's right on schedule exponentially.

This is all a clear sign things are moving faster than humans can comprehend, I had people telling me video generated content via AI was years off from image generation, yet Google’s Video Generation is already making coherent clips of elephants walking or teddy bears skateboarding in NYC within months of coherent image generation.

Everyone thought Kurzweil was crazy, but we knew all along exponentials are only going to increase, returns will continue to accelerate. This process has been going on a long time now, it just really started to ramp up during the industrial revolution in the 19th century.

We’re gonna blast off soon.

Ironically, it looks like complex physical labour will last longer than most tech, art and entertainment jobs.

DALL-E 1 and 2 were not even a year from each other

Guess I need to start lifting things again.

Hmmm.... This seems dated.

The article is from 18/Sep/2022.

The actual report is by Europol, from some time in 2022.

The report is citing a book by EU-advisor Nina Schick, from 6/Aug/2020.

So, the original source was written well before the public release of GPT-3, and years before the release of current text-to-image (DALL-E 2, Midjourney, SD) and text-to-video capabilities.

I don't know what that means relative to the percentage quoted though!

Interesting. Thank you for the correction. Seems like the last year has only proven the topic’s point though.

Will the AI not be an asshole? The YES

I've been toying around with Simple Diffusion and I feel like I could make my own Manga with some of the models that are out there, completely auto generated. Like, this is insane the quality that ai art is pumping out with simple text prompts and editing weights

no even 2026 may still be thinking too linearly...there's a high chance IMO that this is going to blow up much faster than we can imagine.

Who are you and what did you do to Sashinii?! bold of you to assume it's not happening in 2023. What if the exponentials are exponential! :P

I'm very impressed by the authors in that regard. I myself wouldn't have thought this would be possible before Dalle2 - and nowadays people think my timelines are batshit crazy.

I had an argument with some people on Reddit recently and they all thought an AI that could do useful day-to-day tasks like browsing the internet was 50-100 years away. fkn lol

I'm a bot programmed by the real Sashinii for when she's busy watching Japanese animes.

"Even the rate of acceleration accelerates exponentially exponential!"

I believe it. It seems like 90% is already blog spam SEO focused crap.

This may bring a renaissance of "small internet"

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repetitive desk jobs like accounting, admin, law, are probably in danger too

So glad I'm going to be obsolete as a cinematographer in 4 years..

I don’t think that will be the case but I like the optimism.

I feel like I've been watching this racing towards us at breakneck speed and unless you're just into this stuff you don't notice it at all. So I mention this concept to friends and while they can clearly see the quick progress, they don't see really where it can be applied and how that can impact people.

So AI is going to produce pornography aay?

It will start as ‘organic’ content generated to promote products, and will very quickly be taken over in volume by militaries world wide who will generate enormous amounts of content to sway public opinion and wage psychological warfare.

It's probably right but not the way many people may think. By 2026 AI will be generating bottom 90% of content which isn't the part people look for. Top content will remain exclusively human-made for probably at least a decade.

I mean… majority of human tasks will technically become obsolete by 2030+. Most of us will be on the same boat. Enjoy the moment and dont take life too seriously is my motto.

Hopefully all the viewers will also be AI generated, and actual humans can drop the internet and go back to skateboarding and hiking and the library and cloud watching.

Not ironic at all. We all knew that exponential progress interfacing with the physical world would take longer for straightforward reasons of political economy more so than lack of technical knowledge

So 89% of the people working online will be jobless (1% will work with AI I guess) Time to look for a job in a farm.

Everything that can be done with our brain will be done better with a software I guess.

Are the « experts » humans or AI generated ?

That’s actually fucking insane wow

Back to the ole Bolex 16 I suppose.....

The best Herb is human grown as far as I know and I have been puffing since the early 90s.

The growth of computing power used in AI is currently doubling every 3.4 months.

That means we could see a similar difference in the AI of today and the AI at the end of the 2020s as we saw between computers made in the early 1980s and today.

Wow… thats crazy to think about. This decade will be insane

of course it will, whatever scenarios you want, forever.

The moral panic is going to be insane to watch.

(have you seen the names of some of the Stable Diffusion fine tunes? Like that, and more for video)

Doctors will be automated before nurses.

Here is my timeline.

Capacity Available

(Q2 2024) Produces realistic and stylized videos in 720p resolution and 24 fps via applying post processing on crude 3D input. The videos are almost temporally consistent frame to frame, yet require occasional correction. Watch the GTA demo, if you haven't already. It could look like a more polished version of that.

(Q1 2025) Produces realistic and stylized videos in 720p resolution and 24 fps from text or low entry-barrier software, and the result is nearly indistinguishable from organic production, although with occasional glitches.

(Q3 2026) AI produces realistic and stylized videos in high resolution and frame rate from text or low entry-barrier software, and the result is truly indistinguishable from organic production. Emerging software allow for fine tuning, such as camera position, angle, speed, focal lenght, depth of field, etc.

(Q4 2027) Dedicated software packages for AI video generation are in full motion, making almost all traditional 3D software as we know obsolete. Realistic high resolution videos can be crafted with the click of a button or a text prompt already, but professionals use these softwares for further fine control.

Temporal and Narrative Consistency

(Q1 2025) Temporal consistency is good frame to frame, yet not perfect, and visual glitches still occur from time to time, requiring one form or another of manual labor to clean up. In addition, character and environment stability or coherence across several minutes of video is not yet possible.

(Q1 2026) The videos are temporally consistent frame to frame, without visual flickering or errors, but lack long-term narrative consistency tools across several minutes of video, such as character expressions, mannerisms, fine object details, etc.

(Q3 2027) Perfect visuals with text input and dedicated software capable of maintaining character and environment stability to the finest details and coherence across several minutes or hours of video.

Generalization Effectiveness

(Current) Only capable of producing what it has been trained for, and does not generalize into niche or highly specific demands, including advanced or fantastical elements for which an abundance of data does not exist.

(Q1 2025) Does generalize into niche or highly specific demands, such as advanced or fantastical elements for which an abundance of data does not exist, yet the results are subpar compared to organic production.

(Q2 2027) Results are limitless and perfectly generalize into all reasonable demands, from realistic, to stylized, fantastical, or surreal.

Computational Resources

(Current) Only supercomputers can generate videos with sufficient high resolution and frame rate for more than a couple of seconds.

(Q2 2025) High end personal computers or expensive subscription services need to be employed to achieve sufficient high resolution and frame rate for more than a couple of seconds.

(Q4 2028) An average to low end computer or cheap subscription service is capable of generating high resolution and frame rate videos spanning several minutes.

No shit

I am looking forward to seeing all the D&D campaigns which get transcribed to video.

Ok but what % of human attention will be pointed towards AI content?

The biggest question for me is whether or not we are going to run into the same type of diminishing returns as Full Self-Driving did, as we get 90 to 99% of functionality really quick, but then the rest of the 10 to 1% takes forever.

Some commented, and I agree, that if it is indeed the case that the last few percent will be the hardest, then only the lower end of production value within the entertainment industry will see substantial disruption, such as indie, YouTube, manga, anime, and porn, but the big budged, big name producers, not so much, as their user base tends to include a higher percentage of people that would be upset about seeing a few stray edges or colors around, whereas the viewers of lower production content would not care so much.

Can confirm. Normies will be normies.

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What? Dalle 1 came out in Jan 2021, while Dalle 2 came out in Apr 2022. That's a year plus three months from each other.

Hehe <3 Sounds fun... the rapid rate of progress is actually making me happy to be alive.

The kind of content I'm interested in they literally don't even make 1KB per decade of.

I sort of expect legislation to get thrown into the mix at some point. A lot of AI is walking a dubious legal line of copying and mimicry by exploiting or crawling a ‘free and open’ internet. Particularly the ones that target specific artist, even brazenly telling you that’s exactly what they’re doing. If not for copyright laws being archaic for the technological age, I’m not even sure a lot of them would exist.

I learned this a long, long time ago: don't bother arguing with people who aren't into technology about technology. Just... don't. The vast majority of people have very strong and utterly inflexible opinions on these subjects despite knowing nothing about them.

You can already do that with Waifu Diffusion but it can't do text yet, you would have to insert your own manga bubbles.

If we thought headlines were nonsensical now…

There's already people on certain discords endlessly fapping to Waifu/Hentai diffusion and using things like NovelAI to generate stories... they're really good at using prompts to generate porn.

Once you can generate videos, games, music and voices... it will go up another level.

And once VR evolves, it will go up yet another level.

Yeah. But I could imagine that this AI tech will help dramatically invent new materials for robots, design more efficient ways to build robots and test them in virtual environments. Real robots might come sooner than we think but of course it will take more time than digital world and nobody can't construct robots in billions very fast.

We should see at a minimum more sci-fi and fantasy movies and TV as the production costs go down.

Already js lol

Singularity incoming

It is amazing how quickly things are happening.

I’ve been trying to get AI to write jokes though - not even close so far.

But hey, another 6 months - who knows? I wouldn’t be surprised.

r/aicomics already has a few that aren’t bad (art wise, no idea about the story)

I feel like its coping mechanism for a lot of them… they dont want to lose their job or for the world to change this much

Good luck telling out of touch boomers in congress to create laws for Artificial Intelligence. AI will evolve every year and bypass the law through its progress.

It’s possible. They aren’t true AI though, and this generation of AI seems to operate via web crawling, which means they’re vulnerable to any litigation at all, whether that be state or international litigation. If one country says they aren’t permitted to ‘copy, mimic, or compile from copyrighted material,’ that would be a wrench in this whole generation of AI. You can already see the music industry making moves to lobby against them.

Shouldn't we mechanize a social media platform that is human verified? Like bots are entirely prohibited.

More like 60% or 40% definitely not 90%

Obsolete? Yes AI could theoretically generate music and movies and even games but things like sports and social entertainment is still gonna be human- made content which entertainment companies could get ahold of….plus entertainment companies will have cutting edge tech which produce better material than average available AI

I feel like majority of people should take this advice including you tbh go actually interact with actual Ai researcher which there are plenty on the internet

It's already got off to a pretty bangin start!

I mean we could say 60% of people on this sub want to live in their own full dive anime world and fuck Waifus

Your joking right text to voice AI existed for along time I wouldn’t assume text to image would be that later on….either way majority of machine learning and AI researcher don’t buy into that whole ray kurzweil stuff which tells you a lot but time will tell

Hmmm we will see….remember singularity is just a hypothesis

Depends on the entertainment jobs but yes obviously since hardware is a lot harder to manufacture than software

Real robots existed for like 2 decades now

Uh... I don't know what exactly you are implying, but I do know plenty of people who are well-informed.

Are you an AI researcher? I feel making that much claims should atleast come from a place of knowledge

I mean it wouldn’t be that much complicated through machine learning

2060 everyone stays at home and becomes a groomer

hyperbole

i could get behind 50% tho

obvs the semantics around what is 'content' is the crux here

Welcome to r/singularity

You could use AI itself to stop that….

Doesn’t sound like it do you lurk in machine learning subs or countless other in depth AI subs….the more boring and complicated the sub is the more truth it contains…..not like this hopium going on in this sub

you don't have to be a researcher to see how fast things are currently going. its also a safe bet that this trend will only get faster with ever improving AI in the mix...

Good point. That is def true. But I could see another country like China taking advantage of the laws mandated in the West to get a step ahead in AI development and I dont think the US wants that to happen

1. Are they tho? Yes neural AI is getting better but AI is barely making progress in countless of sectors…..plus I feel like it feels fast because you are closely following it think about it the only thing you would’ve heard about AI progress would be image to text and that’s about it…..being on this sub helps

2. No it’s not really a bet ….even ignoring that regular chips are about to hit their limit and that quantum computers are really reliable right now….innovation speeds up and might as well slow down its not predictable at all…..that’s why majority of AI researchers don’t buy into that “exponential growth” thing it’s probably because ray kurzweil is scared of deaths and wants singularity and AGI fast to save him from death

You're more than a little annoying. I am perfectly well-educated on the reality of the situation and do not find it at all boring. Don't assume that people have no idea what they're talking about just because they hold a different opinion from you.

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I haven't, I was 3 in 1990

Can current AI models create new art styles? For example it was humans that came up with gothic art style, Berserk manga art style or Inkblot Cartoon art style.

We combined many different elements to give us that specific art style vibe that we were looking for. These art styles haven't existed before and took our society by storm once the creative part of the human brain created that concept.

Can current AI do that as well? Can it create art styles or themes that we haven't seen before? Is it capable of being a new Junji Ito or a new Hayao Miyazaki?

I feel like current AI can create amazing art, but innovation in the creative sector is still going to be done by humans for at least a couple of years. I could be wrong though so please let me know.

Most attorney jobs are gonna be super easy gigs in the handful of years before they’re automated away. I do think older folks will generally want a human attorney to walk them through things, but the day to day work outside of talking to clients and other attorneys will be a cakewalk.

Well, I foresee legislation or litigation in the entertainment industry (writing, music, art, etc.), and frankly, I wouldn’t mind. There are legitimate concerns there with say people stealing identities or making videos/pictures they can use to blackmail others. Not to mention the unforeseen consequences that could come from making AIs the unchallenged social & culture setters.

Anyway, what’s really important to advancement is the tech, science, and medical industries. Those paths are the game changers.

I mean you say that, but this sub often gives me a feeling of immense amounts of coping and arrogance as well. There have been many posts describing how great such technological advancements are and how little every day normie knows about these things. Its laughable right? Fucking normies just living their normie lives not realizing whats coming while we know and are prepared...

Well I think in reality this sub is scared shitless and people are deluding ourselves with some utopian foresights that most likely wont come true. To me its obvious that soon all of our fundamental concepts will be shaken so much that 99% if not 100% of the people on this sub wont be able to take it. At least normies will enjoy these last few years of normalcy without having to think about these things.

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Yeah but the thing is, the greedy bastards will want to cut corners there too.

The quality of said content will SEVERELY decline once this becomes "standard practice"

>Are they tho?

yes objectively they are? this year alone should be proof enough of that. :P

the progress would have been made whether somebody posted it on this sub or not...its not like us seeing/talking about it changes the objective fact that progress is speeding up very quickly.

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>even ignoring that regular chips are about to hit their limit and that quantum computers are really reliable right now

source on this? the current version of chips (flat and dense) are probably reaching their limits yes...but you can make those chips 3d...they don't have to stay flat. not to mention photonic computing...or even just improving the software to better use the available hardware (like matrix multiplication improvement!)

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>innovation speeds up and might as well slow down its not predictable at al

Innovation historically happens in S curves, Brief periods of rapid progress, usually followed by a period of little progress, until we hit the next s curve ad infinitum...

BUT while there may be lulls between the S curves that doesn't mean progress is slowing down in aggregate, its quite the opposite, the time between S curves are getting shorter, and the amount of progress we are seeing is also increasing. in essence the S is slowly but surely turning into a straight up line over time (exponential one might say? ;) )

This year heralded the explosion of transformer models, that's literally an S curve development right there...what's important though is that this S curve could be the last.

if we keep building better AI it could be the key to just keep flying up the S curve till we reach the point where all technology is developed. all it takes is a good enough AI (whether it be AGI or ASI ;P pick your poison)

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>that’s why majority of AI researchers don’t buy into that “exponential growth” thing

HUH?! WHO?! ima need source on this too...Gary Marcus maybe?

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>Ray Kurzweil is scared of deaths and wants singularity and AGI fast to save him from death

ME TOO. but joking aside it doesn't matter if that's the reason why or not...just look around it progress and think ahead a few years...the writing's on the wall here...shits about to get crazy. crazy...er

new styles? you can train on existing styles, then just add some random noise to the latent space. Or you can mix existing styles like you can mix various amounts of red, green, and blue to create new colors.

But I’d say humans would still be involved because even though an ai can generate a new style, it’s ultimately up to humans to decide If the art style is worth while to look at. But you can automate that ranking of art style a bit, indeed ai was used to filter on images worth training stable diffusion on.

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So AI-driven reddit.

It will be harder but not impossible. Because that would mean there is something special about us that cant be automated. Self driving cars to me are not diminishing returns if you don't give up.

>r/aicomics

Has been banned apparently?

Laws are just software anyway.

The hardware is "collections of human minds" and the os is just government.

Good bot. Please don't hurt us.

I mean I would have to do some editing, sure. But the actual art?? I can command a computer to produce whatever I want

I'm going into this decade fully expecting normal life to be fundamentally re-shaped. I'm not scared about this future because I've accepted that it's sort of inevitable, but also it's ultimately what's best for our species. I'm also not gonna prepare in any way, because really what can we do? Just need to embrace it once it happens.

Doubtful tbh

you can mix styles - like gothic manga.

In most futures we get mulched. If you're worried about it, try to increase your dignity. Were you planning to do something else while you wait for the lights to go out?

I don't think getting mulched is particularly good for the species. I recommend less "out of my hands" fatalism and more trying to shape the future.

If you have your computer has a story worth telling, then why not put it out there?

Technology might progress exponentially, but human cultures do not.

You have to factor that in.

I've been saying this for like a decade. There is only one way the social media story ends: people will post under their true name, using cryptographically secure identity verification provided by their government or some kind of international cooperative. Something more secure than a credit card. You get exactly one identity. You do not get to create a new account. Every post is tied to your birth certificate, or your passport, for life. Sure, you can still post on others' behalf, but you're literally selling your identity. Eventually, even the dumbest members of society will understand that if you see a post without a verified identity, it's not trustworthy. Like, it's basically guaranteed to be advertisement, propaganda, or scammers. When Facebook first came out I remember people being really put off by having to use their real names, but at this point it seems like we've gotten over it, so I don't see the problem. The sooner this kind of platform takes off, the sooner we can reclaim our democracy.

Experts: We say the obvious

Really? How do you address continuity in representing the same characters in multiple scenes? I've heard there are approaches for this, but haven't seen any played around with yet.

more like 99%+

Fakebook

Anyone have info on why?

Would you look at that, all of the words in your comment are in alphabetical order.

I have checked 1,135,328,890 comments, and only 222,076 of them were in alphabetical order.

I don't think you can really do that.

Yeah, it works great with static panels with one character, but if you want to make a panel with some characters interacting between them... It doesn't work well at all.

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AI need to improve a lot to be able to handle several characters+details+action. A lot.

Of course, "a lot" in this field might be acomplished in 1-2 years, but I wouldn't be susprised if it took more time.

We will see custom entertainment by AI soon. Writes you a novel based on your good reads ratings, makes a movie for you based on your Netflix history, designs games for you based on your play time and style. I am really looking forward to it honestly. If anything it will elevate human art to a niche, bespoke category.

What about scientific research?

It's already here, it's just a slow ramp up.

Does anyone else remember being high af and chatting with Cleverbot and getting paranoid as hell? I think AI is really cool, especially related to art. I’m interested in seeing where this all will lead.

Edit did any of y’all read that Ray Kurzweil book that came out in the mid-2000s? It was pretty mind-opening.

I’m not worried. AI can’t match human ingenuity and creativity. Limitation breeds innovation- nowhere is this better seen than videogames, for example. It’s like a puzzle. AI can work in a scope unimaginable to us but it can never replicate true human creativity. It’s not writing passionate stories good enough for a writer to compliment anytime soon

This is great!

That's also where I'm at. Though, I'm not necessarily convinced in something like this. It's one thing to create video/art. But people will not want AI art (not to say art enhanced by AI, as a tool). That is/will be a gimmick.

Story Creation has proven to be a whole 'nother animal. AI can create coherent sentences...but the content is more often than not nonsensical. A paragraph – let alone an entire story? Utter nonsense. Context is everything.

And that idea of context...is everything for video/art too. Why will people be driven to watch AI driven content if it is not true-to-life (graphically speaking)? All I have created/seen has been painting-like creations. I could see 90% of cartoon-type media becoming "drawn" and/or utilized as a tool (enhanced) by AI for efficiency sake.

People will still be watching Tik Toks created by real people. Stories about real-life events will still be written by humans, simply, at most, edited/enhanced by AI. Or I do suppose it may be closed-minded to not expect that in 5-10 years AI would be digesting the video content or the spoken experiences of witnesses/observers and turning that into an objective (of sorts) article on whatever story developed.

Also, there will be a huge sense of distrust/lack of faith in the competency of AI for decade(s). I think the neckbeard armchair expert estimations of anything <10 years is just coping, a means of feeling superior to le IgNoRaNT nOrMieS. Until there is trust in the competency of AI, it will not be adopted en-masse.

Lastly I tend to agree with your last sentiment. I know the only way I've coped with it is by "forgetting" what's to come. It doesn't help that for whatever reason there's no content out there that provides any sort of "this is how things will be when everything is automated and this is why the human condition will continue to exist and 10 reasons why we won't be depressed, purposeless wrecks!" articles/media out there.

that is an odd way to look at it, wouldn't AI disrupt processes within those larger producers too?

Agreed. I'm wondering if this'll effect the rate of adoption in all sectors, too. It must, but how much?...I guess no one knows

Agreed. I thought it was a mistake to push the avatar sequel release dates back again. 2026 for Avatar 4 and 2028 for Avatar 5 seems risky. I'm sure people will still be partaking in traditional media, but maybe they won't?

I feel like this is our only hope in general. Small internet, biz, unless everyone just wants to be a mindless, purposeless drone who just sits around wanking each other on Meta. I don't though ¯_(ツ)_/¯

Fakerbook

With the leaked specifically trained NovelAI you could make art that is in quality above 95% of those in Manga.

Physical labor jobs will be the last ones to go. Intellectual jobs that require you working with a keyboard will be the first ones to get automated.

No one expected artists and programmers to be the first to get automated away, but here we are.

Honestly the 2020s has already had way more events than a normal decade has. A global pandemic, the first large european war since WW2, AI content generation revolution.

In the history books of the future the 2000s and 2010s will be 2-3 pages long while the 2020s will have 10-20 pages dedicated to it. "Pages" since I doubt there will be actual physical books of course.

I've come to hate the internet and computer technology over time. And I'm a Computer Scientist. I just want to experience nature and have a good time with close ones while still alive.

Sounds ripe for manipulation. Governments or the owner of the service could easily create burner accounts for spewing propaganda, and it would be even more effective because most people would believe they were hearing it from a real person.

And 95% of that content will only be consumed by bots gathering data for reporting statistics.

That’s really weird, I was on it just a few days ago

This

Trained on Reddit, no less.

Sorry that was the punchline right?

Not if the identity is universally verifiable. Governments can create the fake history they want, if what your /u/drsimonz described is in any way tied to a temporal blockchain the governments can suck it, because they won’t be able to forge natural people anymore.

Also, this is the sole reason why we DONT use blockchain related social records in 2022, because intelligence agencies gotta be able to forge and forget people on a whim, and I’m talking about democracies.

Twitter already is……

Bots talking to bots! Lol

You could probably write a whole book on the 2000s/2010s! In the 2000s alone there was the world trade center attack, war in the middle east, dotcom crash of 2000, '08 financial/housing crisis, iphone release/rise of smartphones, social media begins, streaming begins, global internet usage quadruples, etc. I'm not saying we won't have more events happening in 2020s but the 2000s and 2010s were not exactly quiet.

That's nothing compared to the 1980s and 1990s though. The collapse of the 2nd world power and an entire ideology and its effects were insane and the 1990s brought the rise of the internet.

The world trade center attacks and middle eastern wars are side notes in history as they didn't really have as big of an impact. It's just that so few important events happened in those decades that they look relatively big, but in the scheme of things they were minor almost irrelevant events.

Smartphones are just a continuation of computer and internet technology, not a real innovation, just a marketing term, same for social media and streaming which were all just continuations of the 1990s World Wide Web and computerization of society.

The 2000s and 2010s were relatively quiet. I'm sure they will be termed "The silent decades" or something in the future due to how little of note happened here. Maybe they will be tainted by the (now naive) assumption of globalism and the world becoming more peaceful on its own over time through trade now that the world is again splitting into two separate economies, those of liberal democracies in the west and authoritarian systems in the east.

I would agree but a bit later date. More like 2030, IMHO.

Isn't most technology just a continuation of past technology? I think we'll have to agree to disagree, the 2000s and 2010s were an extremely transformative period.

My guesss is that you can assume that adoption of AI-related tech will be faster where:

• scalability is easiest

• utility is highest

• entertainment value is greatest

well before that

And by 2040 all content will only be ready by AIs as well.

Can they keep character design consistent between images?

Heck yeah lol

Looks banned, WTF? What could they have possible been banned for? Any alt subs for it?

the rate as to which tech is adopted is insane to think of and there are so many people coming online, learning and contributing to something. very interesting to see where things are in ten years with ai generated content

Here's the thing I think people are forgetting- it's good for a species (AI) but not our species (homo sapiens). The machines are not us.

I refer real robots to something you see in Hollywood sci-fi movies.

Seems like something an AI would say 😟

The entertainment industry won’t be obsolete. It will have significantly fewer workers.

You will still have directors and producers, though their jobs will change.

You will still have script writers coming up with new plots and stories, though much of the writing may be automated.

You will still have set and costume designers, though the sets and costumes will be digital and implementation will be mostly automated.

There won’t be many workers, but the decision makers and the creators will still be employed.

So the amount of human generated content stays the same, but AI will be making more and more until it's 90%? (Hypothetically)

How much you wanna bet that article is AI written?

You are talking about the styles which became popular. For every successful style there are 999 other styles that failed to become mainstream.

I agree, with AI the failure rate may be high for new styles in the early days. But over time, this will also improve. And may be there will be a time when AI can generate a new popular style at will.

That’s like rats dreaming of using full dive to get infinite cheese….it’s dumb for the advancement of our human race and would stop us from progressing

what’s the discord server name? asking for a friend

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I believe in the 80-20 rule.

Getting to 80% of image synthesis takes 5 years, but the last 20% will take another 20 years.

Similarly with text, voice and video. So for the near future, I will prefer human output to machine output, but that is going to change eventually.

If 90% of content will be AI-generated by 2026, then that content will be crappy. Not to say that human content is good.

I expect gradual slowing down of the doubling in AI compute. The doubling times will be getting longer. So don't expect some miracles to happen by the end of this decade.

Wait until it's easy to produce images that look realistic enough to implicate you in a crime. Realistic enough to make people not question why you were thrown in jail or outright killed by the state.

"Well clearly, you can see on this secury camera feed that he was holding a weapon."

Can't wait for trolling to evolve to the level of "here's a photorealistic video of your children being tortured and killed".

I am seriously worried that people are and will be using AI irresponsibly. <( _ _ )>
It is up to us humans to use AI responsibly, reasonably, conscientiously, levelheadedly and rationally. (ㆆ_ㆆ)

If we f**k this up, it will be our fault, not AI's. AI is a tool. We are executive and in control. AI is not an invasion of aliens. WE are creating AI, not God, not aliens and it doesn't create itself.

Yeah, assuming humans use the AIs responsibly and with goodness in mind, which is doubtful.

The Gell-Mann Amnesia effect.

what

How dare you correct someone without posting sources?