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AdditionalPizza OP t1_it48wtq wrote

Yes to be clear, I'm saying between now and 2025 is the start of Transformative AI. It will be at the point it's ready to start making disruptions. 2025 and beyond society will begin to feel those effects through large scale automation and such.

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edit: I want to clarify this line too, as I don't think I explained it well in the post

>In 2025, what feels like 5 years TODAY (2022) will be 1.25 years.

Right now, 2022, we base our expectations of the rate of progression on the past. So 5 years of progress would be 2017-2022.

2022 - 2025 will be the next 5 years of progress condensed into ~2.5 years.

In 2025, the next 5 years of progress will take place within 1.25 years, relative to to the exponential rate from 2017-2022.

We base our predictions off the past.

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HumpyMagoo t1_it4xfms wrote

I agree and it seems like it is inevitable, grocery stores, restaurants, the entire food industry will be changed dramatically, office work.. basically every facet of our everyday lives will be automated and people will be removed from the equation, while this disruption is happening true AGI will emerge thereafter.

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