Less that massive changes will start being imposed on humanity, and more that the current paradigms will start affecting wider society.

Yes, we'll have some amazingly advanced technology that will spook people in 2024. Perhaps even a proto-AGI system. But it'll affect your life about as much as LaMDA or PaLM does now.

Instead, what will really matter circa 2024 is that things like LaMDA and DALL-E 2 will start genuinely affecting the very perception of modern life in the average person. Existing image generation technology will be so widely disseminated that there will probably be apps to generate images built into Facebook, Imgur, TikTok, and Reddit by then. Natural language models will have upended publishing and literature, democratizing high quality prose and giving us a flourishing of interactive storytelling. And related to that, we'll undoubtedly see natural language bots spread throughout society to the point that Siri will be replaced by something of similar quality to LaMDA while translation services will seem perfect.

All of which will directly impact the daily life of Average Joe because he can now actually, intuitively use all of this technology. He won't realize when these things creeped into his daily life, but he's regularly talking to his smartphone in full conversation and generating little bits of media to amuse himself. By 2024, this will be daily life. And thus there will also be the obvious discussions about the implications of all this. We can't keep the status quo going when it's blatantly obvious that disruption is occurring, so 2024 is about as good of a year as any as we'll start hearing of things like art and modeling schools starting to lose funding or artists lobbying to regulate synthetic media technologies.

Even right now, he'd have to go out of his way to find something like DALL-E 2 or Stable Diffusion. We're still at the bleeding edge of all this. As of 2022, there's zero threat to art schools or low-level musicians from procedural generation, and AI certainly isn't good enough to make robots more of a thing either. It's an astoundingly good year for AI, undoubtedly, but it's going to take some time for this all to infringe upon our daily lives in any meaningful way. The experiences of geeks doesn't count.