The only way I see for AGI to not be possible is if some form of idealism or dualism is the way reality works. If physicalism is fundamentally how things run, then I don’t see any obstacle to why AGI wouldn’t assuredly be in the cards, it would only be a question of when, and whether or not we hold on long enough to not destroy ourselves first.

That said, anyone who voted this year or next year I feel is wildly optimistic. Downvote me if you must.