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TheHamsterSandwich t1_ivywkwy wrote

Reply to comment by Phoenix5869 in AGI Content / reasons for short timelines ~ 10 Years or less until AGI by Singularian2501

Which expert

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Russila t1_ivznvka wrote

At this point I'd really like to hear what experts these people are talking about. We seem to be able to name and cite sources from dozens of experts yet anytime you ask pessimists its always "Well you know... Most people. I can't name one. But most experts say I am right."

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TheHamsterSandwich t1_ivzxc6e wrote

I literally responded to a post and I remember someone saying

"You know, the experts, people that got PhDs in the stuff, people that spent 30 years studying the field. Not, Reddit experts that watched a sketchy YouTube video and then formed an opinion based on wishful thinking."

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yes yes. the experts, of course. how could I be so blind?

the experts. Yet nobody knows who they are.

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^(fucking bullshit)

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Russila t1_iw01u75 wrote

Yes, the experts that got PHD's in the stuff, people that spent 30 years studying the field. John Carmack, Andrej Karpathy, Demis Hassabis, all the people in ops post. What do they say? 10 years or less? Oh... Well they aren't real experts because they don't agree with me.

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Phoenix5869 t1_ivyz4ir wrote

I cant find the article but it seems like were decades away from agi, would love to be proven wrong tho

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