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Quealdlor t1_iw2gcga wrote

From what I've observed over decades, the future is always in between the most optimistic and the most pessimistic predictions. That's why we don't live in Kurzweil's 2022 where US's life expectancy is 103 years or so, but we also don't live in Paul Ralph Ehrlich's 2022 where billions had starved to death. That's why I'm cautiously optimistic. I'm not even sure the Singularity will be a thing, we may have more gradual, positive progress forward. For example +6% Global GDP and +25% faster computers every year for hundreds of years or more.

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Quealdlor t1_iw2k57u wrote

In Kurzweil's predictions there is a Global Government in 2019, there are no wars and instead of smartphones, people use AR contact lenses, also capable of VR. But there were also predictions about World War 3, mass famines, mass scarcity etc. The future is different than in predictions.

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