Kolinnor t1_iyqpx8l wrote on December 3, 2022 at 12:35 PM

It was without the shadow of a doubt the most intense year ever for AI. And I expect the following years to be even crazier.

User1539 t1_iysht53 wrote on December 3, 2022 at 8:37 PM

I was going to say, AI breakthroughs alone would have been enough to keep me feeling like we're speeding toward something.

Then you look at breakthroughs in Graphene, Fusion, magnetics, etc ... and it feels like the future is coming at an increasing pace.

Which is what we're here for, right?

Makingggserver t1_iysxq3e wrote on December 3, 2022 at 10:31 PM

explain why

Kolinnor t1_iyur259 wrote on December 4, 2022 at 8:41 AM

We had insane results in scaling (Palm, Lamda (can't remember if that's 2022 though), Chinchilla and others), the baby steps of general agents (notably Gato), and many things that prove that many (if all) things are in reach of AI, notably : mathematics at a pretty serious level (Minnerva), and of course the realization with text-to-image models (Dalle-2, Stable Diffusion), that artists might be, at least partially, replaced in a very near future. Cherry on the cake for ChatGPT that gives a wild peak into the capabilities of GPT-4, which was rumored to be announced this year.

Thing is : we haven't really figured out "common sense" / level 2 reasoning (even though large language models exhibit some reasoning capabilities, I'd say it's still primitive). So whenever we get level 2 reasoning, we're probably in the singularity. When is that ? 10 years ? 20 years ? Maybe. But certainly not 50 years.

In the meantime, neat "narrow" applications probably won't stop to flourish...