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TheHamsterSandwich t1_j2cvvaj wrote

Y'know, I've never really understood these posts. If you don't believe that the Singularity is coming in your lifetime, why are you even here? It's like you look at all the evidence and just throw it out the window, saying "Well, it's just not going to happen because I believe it won't!"

It's like saying "I don't believe humans will ever go to the moon, so they won't."

If you're really having trouble understanding why people think the Singularity will occur by 2045, you should try reading "The Singularity Is Near" by Ray Kurzweil. He explicitly says why he believes this is going to happen. I'm not going to type it all out here, so you can just check it out for yourself.

Come back to this comment in 100 years, and laugh about how wrong I was if you really believe what you say.

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Desperate_Food7354 t1_j2cs7oy wrote

you could at least provide an argument.

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GhostInTheNight03 t1_j2csn0j wrote

The fact that there are so many dissenting opinions for one, it's nothing more than guessing at this point, I'll believe anything that's definitive, not just 50 percent chances of something happening by whatever time period, a fifty percent chance is quite literally saying nothing, it either will or won't happen...unless someone provides data thats one hundred percent solid there's no reason to take it serious

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Desperate_Food7354 t1_j2cvmav wrote

One thing is for sure, we are the known bare minimum of intelligence, and that we obey no different physics than a computer does.

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sticky_symbols t1_j2czd1v wrote

That is just not good reasoning. If there were a vague 50% chance of you being hit by a car, you'd get out of the road. All of the important predictions of the past have been less than 100% certain. We always take guesses about the future based on the available data.

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lutel t1_j2cudm1 wrote

Singularity won't be that stupid to let us to see her.

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AsuhoChinami t1_j2crqxp wrote

I don't even know wtf the Singularity is on anything more than a vague level honestly, but we'll live to see dramatically improved quality-of-life standards and that's all that matters. That's not some insane starry-eyed hopium, every decade of history going back to the 1800s has introduced new forms of technology and advancements worth being happy about. I'm much more comfy as a 35 year old in 2022 than I would have been as a 35 year old in my own birth year of 1987 (assuming everything about my personality and self remained intact). My hopium remains, sorry. Have a good 2023.

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Eleganos t1_j2cz7pc wrote

That only happens if life extension technology doesn't go into vogue within our lifetime. Singularity is potentially far fetched, but scooping up a brain and putting it in a jar by the end of the century? You can't tell me thats fantasy.

After that it's a waiting game. Unless you think everyone is going to die, it's illogical to think NOBODY here will live to see the singularity.

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sticky_symbols t1_j2cz1ib wrote

Anyone could be wrong. But I'm about as expert as anyone on AI and brain function, and by my estimate the first is catching the second very fast.

I'm not sure that's a good thing. At this rate the singularity is likely to wipe us out.

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